就业产出方程的基本趋势:以约旦为例

ERN: Time-Series Models (Single) (Topic) Pub Date : 2009-12-10 DOI:10.15208/PIEB.2009.47

Arqam Al-Rabbaie, Ahmad A. Alwaked, Yaseen Altawawneh

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引用次数: 1

摘要

利用结构时间序列模型(STSM)研究了1989- 2004年约旦经济的潜在就业趋势(UET)。这种方法允许以Harvey(1989)引入的随机形式对趋势进行建模。结果表明，随机趋势优于确定性趋势。此外，纳入或排除常规确定性趋势会导致高估产出弹性。此外，发现UET是非线性的，向下倾斜。

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Underlying Trends in Employment Output Equation: The Case of Jordan

The underlying employment trend (UET) is investigated in Jordanian economy over the period 1989- 2004 using structural time series model (STSM). This approach allows to modelling the trend in its stochastic form introduced by Harvey (1989). The results show that a stochastic trend is preferred to deterministic trend. In addition, the inclusion or exclusion of the conventional deterministic trend leads to overestimated output elasticity. Furthermore, the UET is found to be non-linear, down downward sloping.

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ERN: Time-Series Models (Single) (Topic)

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