2007-2017年丹麦亲密伴侣杀人案:追踪致命暴力的潜在预测因素

Søren Rye, C. Angel
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Special emphasis was placed on which potential predictors had been known by some organisation or person, but never reported to police until after the homicides had occurred.FindingsCharacteristics of IPH cases in this study are remarkably similar to those found in the UK studies, starting with the nearly identical rates of IPH per 100,000. The Danish data show even greater prevalence of male offenders having discussed, threatened or attempted suicide prior to killing their intimate partner (52%) than in the all-England sample (40%). Danish IPH cases were even more likely (71%) than the Thames Valley cases (54%) to have had no prior recorded police contact as a couple before the IPH incident. 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引用次数: 2

摘要

研究问题:丹麦的亲密伴侣凶杀有哪些特征,可以为更准确的预测和预防此类犯罪提供信息?这些事实的知识如何在家庭、警察和其他机构中传播?数据:丹麦12个警区中的10个警区11年来(2007年至2017年)报告的所有77起亲密伴侣杀人(IPH)案件的所有丹麦警方数据均由第一作者编码,其中包括这些年来丹麦所有已知IPH案件的75%,以及允许查阅其调查档案的警区案件的100%。方法根据最近在英国和澳大利亚完成的类似研究,选择潜在的预测变量进行编码,并将丹麦的结果与先前的研究结果进行比较。特别强调的是,某些组织或个人已经知道哪些潜在的预测因素,但直到杀人事件发生后才向警方报告。本研究中IPH病例的特征与英国研究中发现的非常相似,每10万人中IPH的发生率几乎相同。丹麦的数据显示,男性罪犯在杀害亲密伴侣之前讨论、威胁或企图自杀的比例(52%)比全英格兰的比例(40%)更高。丹麦的IPH案件(71%)比泰晤士河谷的案件(54%)更有可能在IPH事件发生前没有事先记录的警方联系。在丹麦,警方以外的当事人在几乎一半(47%)的谋杀案中事先知道家庭暴力,包括公共机构(IPH的22%),但没有与警方分享这些信息。结论在丹麦和英国一样,警察与大多数发生凶杀案的亲密夫妇没有事先接触。虽然自杀倾向在这种情况下非常普遍,但警方没有法律框架从卫生和社会机构获取有关这类风险因素的情报。这些发现表明,在丹麦和其他地方一样,让其他公共机构有义务分享信息,可能会提高对家庭凶杀的预测和预防。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Intimate Partner Homicide in Denmark 2007–2017: Tracking Potential Predictors of Fatal Violence
Research QuestionWhat are the characteristics of intimate partner homicide in Denmark that may inform more accurate prediction and prevention of such crimes, and how is knowledge of those facts distributed across families, police and other agencies?DataAll Danish police data on all 77 cases of intimate partner homicide (IPH) reported over 11 years (2007 through 2017) in 10 of the 12 Danish Police Districts were coded by the first author, comprising 75% of all known IPH cases in Denmark for those years and 100% of the cases in Districts that allowed access to their investigative files.MethodsPotentially predictive variables were selected for coding based on similar studies recently completed in the UK and Australia, with comparisons made between these Danish results and the prior findings. Special emphasis was placed on which potential predictors had been known by some organisation or person, but never reported to police until after the homicides had occurred.FindingsCharacteristics of IPH cases in this study are remarkably similar to those found in the UK studies, starting with the nearly identical rates of IPH per 100,000. The Danish data show even greater prevalence of male offenders having discussed, threatened or attempted suicide prior to killing their intimate partner (52%) than in the all-England sample (40%). Danish IPH cases were even more likely (71%) than the Thames Valley cases (54%) to have had no prior recorded police contact as a couple before the IPH incident. In Denmark, parties other than the police had prior knowledge of domestic abuse in almost half (47%) of the murders, including public agencies (22% of IPH), but did not share that information with the police.ConclusionsIn Denmark as in the UK, police have no prior contact with most intimate couples suffering a homicide. While suicidal tendencies are highly prevalent in such cases, police have no legal framework for obtaining intelligence about such risk factors from health and social agencies. These findings show that in Denmark as elsewhere, creating a duty by other public agencies to share information might improve prediction and prevention of domestic homicides.
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