非洲股市是否表现出风险回报权衡的迹象

K. Emenike
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摘要

本文的目的是在选定的非洲股票市场建立风险-收益权衡的性质。具体而言,本文评估了科特迪瓦(BRVM),肯尼亚,毛里求斯,摩洛哥,尼日利亚,南非和突尼斯的股票市场的风险回报关系。本文在2010年1月4日至2018年11月30日的研究期间对七个股票市场采用AR(p)-GARCH(1,1)均值模型。结果表明,南非、突尼斯和摩洛哥股市存在显著的正风险回报权衡。结果还显示,其他非洲股票市场存在正但不显著的风险溢价系数,这意味着科特迪瓦,肯尼亚,毛里求斯和尼日利亚的股票市场可能没有补偿投资者固有的系统性风险。结果进一步表明,在样本期内,对许多非洲股票市场的投资将提供与风险无关的回报。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Africa stock markets exhibit any evidence of risk-return trade-off
The purpose of this paper is to establish the nature of risk-return trade-off in selected Africa stock markets. Specifically, the paper evaluates stock markets in Cote d'Ivoire (BRVM), Kenya, Mauritius, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa and Tunisia, for risk-return relationship. The paper employs AR(p)-GARCH(1, 1)-in-mean model on the seven stock markets over the 4 January 2010 to 30 November 2018 study period. The results evince positive and significant risk-return trade-off in the South Africa, Tunisia and Morocco stock markets. The results also show existence of positive but insignificant risk premium coefficients for the other Africa stock markets, which imply that stock markets in Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya, Mauritius, and Nigeria may not have compensated investors for inherent systematic risk. The results further suggest that investments in many of the Africa stock markets over the sample period would have provided returns uncorrelated with risk.
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