{"title":"利用修正Logistic模型确定COVID-19大流行过程","authors":"","doi":"10.32592/kjmsb.2021.1.1.2","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: COVID-19 appeared in China at the end of 2019. It then spread all over the world very quickly. The new type of corona virus COVID-19, which causes respiratory tract infection, is destructive with its high rate of transmission and mortality rate.\nMaterials and Methods: In this study, determining the course of the COVID-19 pandemic for next 4 months in Afghanistan with the help of a specially modified mathematical modeling is intended to reveal.\nResults: results of our study show that the COVID-19 pandemic can affect a large population in Afghanistan in a short time. However, it is possible to reduce the number of cases and deaths very effectively with easy measures.\n\nKeywords: COVID-19, precautions, pandemic, logistic mathematical model, Afghanistan.","PeriodicalId":282364,"journal":{"name":"Kateb Journal of Medical Sciences and Biotechnology","volume":"178 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Determination of the Course of COVID-19 Pandemic Using Modified Logistic Modeling\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.32592/kjmsb.2021.1.1.2\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Introduction: COVID-19 appeared in China at the end of 2019. It then spread all over the world very quickly. The new type of corona virus COVID-19, which causes respiratory tract infection, is destructive with its high rate of transmission and mortality rate.\\nMaterials and Methods: In this study, determining the course of the COVID-19 pandemic for next 4 months in Afghanistan with the help of a specially modified mathematical modeling is intended to reveal.\\nResults: results of our study show that the COVID-19 pandemic can affect a large population in Afghanistan in a short time. However, it is possible to reduce the number of cases and deaths very effectively with easy measures.\\n\\nKeywords: COVID-19, precautions, pandemic, logistic mathematical model, Afghanistan.\",\"PeriodicalId\":282364,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Kateb Journal of Medical Sciences and Biotechnology\",\"volume\":\"178 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-07-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Kateb Journal of Medical Sciences and Biotechnology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.32592/kjmsb.2021.1.1.2\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Kateb Journal of Medical Sciences and Biotechnology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.32592/kjmsb.2021.1.1.2","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Determination of the Course of COVID-19 Pandemic Using Modified Logistic Modeling
Introduction: COVID-19 appeared in China at the end of 2019. It then spread all over the world very quickly. The new type of corona virus COVID-19, which causes respiratory tract infection, is destructive with its high rate of transmission and mortality rate.
Materials and Methods: In this study, determining the course of the COVID-19 pandemic for next 4 months in Afghanistan with the help of a specially modified mathematical modeling is intended to reveal.
Results: results of our study show that the COVID-19 pandemic can affect a large population in Afghanistan in a short time. However, it is possible to reduce the number of cases and deaths very effectively with easy measures.
Keywords: COVID-19, precautions, pandemic, logistic mathematical model, Afghanistan.
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