基于模糊评价系统和GM(1,1)方法的粮食系统评价研究

Ruoyi Wang, Ming-shuo Xu, Biao Hou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着世界的发展,当前的粮食问题日益成为国际社会关注的焦点。即使在今天,在和平时期,全球粮食系统也不稳定。造成这些不稳定的部分原因是我们目前的大规模国家和国际食品生产商和分销商的全球体系。本文收集了相关食品体系的相关指标,利用数学模型建立了新的食品体系评价体系,并进行了优化、讨论和分析。本文采用模糊综合评判法建立了一种新的粮食评价体系,并以中国为例,对中国目前的自然因素和人为因素进行了给出和计算,最终得到70.64分。最后发现,中国只有在人类发展指数达到今天的美国时才能实现其粮食系统的优化,然后通过灰色预测模型理解,中国要到20年后的2041年才能实现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on Grain System Evaluation Based on Fuzzy Evaluation System and GM(1,1) Method
With the development of the world, the current food problem has increasingly become the focus of international attention. Even today, in times of peace, the global food system is unstable. Part of the reason for these instability is our current global system of large-scale national and international food producers and distributors. In this paper, the relevant indexes of the relevant food system are collected, and a new food system evaluation system is established by using the mathematical model, and the optimization, discussion and analysis are carried out. In this paper, a new grain evaluation system is established by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and taking China as an example, the current natural and human factors in China are given and calculated, and finally get 70.64 points. Finally, it is found that China can realize the optimization of its food system only when the human development index reaches the United States today, and then understood by the grey prediction model, China will not be able to achieve it until 2041 20 years later.
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