电动汽车不确定性预测

Juliana Chavez, Z. Foroozandeh, S. Ramos, J. Soares, Z. Vale
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电动汽车的日益融合吸引了很多人的兴趣。然而,它们受电动汽车充电不确定性的影响较大,因此难以准确预测。提出了一种基于人工神经网络的电动汽车不确定性预测方法。使用住宅楼的历史数据(如到达时间、离开时间和初始SOC)来训练人工神经网络。然后,在24小时内通过不同的场景进行测试。对于每种情况,通过比较历史数据和预测信息来评估模型的准确性。并计算了相关误差。结果表明,本文提出的预测方法能够有效地降低EV预测误差,从而更好地调节EV的不确定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electric Vehicles Uncertainty Forecasting
The growing integration of electric vehicles has attracted a lot of interest. However, they are highly affected by EV charging uncertainties and are, therefore, difficult to forecast accurately. This paper presents an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method ANN to forecast electric vehicle uncertainties. ANN was trained using historical data from a residential building, such as arrival time, departure time and initial SOC. Then, it was tested during 24 hours through different scenarios. For each one of the cases, the model’s accuracy was assessed by comparing historical data to forecast information. The associated errors were also calculated. The outcomes reveal that the suggested forecasting method is very effective in reducing EV forecasting errors and, as a result, is better at regulating EV uncertainty.
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