参考地面观测的sm2卫星降水产品在巴基斯坦不同城市的评价和性能

Asif Ali, H. Farid
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摘要

降雨是驱动全球化水文循环的基本要素。基于卫星的降水在陆地上具有很大的固有性,应用范围更广,但由于缺乏世界不同地区的雨量计观测,它们的有效性面临风险。利用所有降水产品群落对水资源、气候学、水文、气象、地理等方面的降水替代数据进行监测。本文计算了SM2降水产品在不同区域、气候、海拔和降雨速率下的表现。调查采用2007 - 2018年12年间11个站点的10项统计指标和3项分类统计数据进行分析。采用不同的统计方法对降水产品在不同时间尺度(月、季、年)上的分析结果进行评估,探讨绩效评分。在月、年时间尺度上,产品的可靠性随海拔高低而变化,相关性较低(0.0057 ~ 0.67),但在季节尺度上相关性最好(0.81),线性回归系数为1.02。季节尺度(>80%)的降水捕获率高于其他尺度。卫星群落产品在月尺度上的结果比季节尺度和年尺度要少,有明显的低估和高估,偏差(-34.08% ~ 132.45%)。但在季节尺度上存在偏高估和偏低估的现象(5.13% ~ -19.61%)。在冬季,研究产品减少了系统偏差,NMAE和NRMSE,并保持了其他季节的潜力。研究了海拔高度和不同降雨事件对SM2卫星性能的影响。SPPs SM2捕获的强降水越多,POD得分越高(> 0.70 ~ 0.99)。高程趋势由南(接近平均海平面)向西北(巴基斯坦北部地区)逐渐增加,地形复杂,雨量大。利用Arc GIS软件对巴基斯坦南部到北部地区的降水进行了相同的插值模式评估。综合评价结果表明,降水产品在月尺度和年尺度上较容易探测强降水事件,但在季节尺度上较可靠。该SPP对于高海拔低降水事件不完全可靠。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation and Performance of SM2-Satellite Precipitation Product with Reference to Ground-Based Observations, in different cities of Pakistan
Rainfall is the fundamental component to drive globalized hydrological cycle. Satellite-based precipitation having great inherency over land with wider range of applications, but their validation is at risk due to lack of rain gauge observations in different regions of the world. All precipitation product community are used to monitor the substitute data of rainfall in water resources, climatology, hydrology, meteorology, and geography. This research paper calculated the performance of SM2 precipitation product on different region, climate, elevation, and rainfall rate. For investigation, the ten statistical metrics and three categorical statistic have been analyzed at 11 station over 12 years period from 2007 to 2018. The different statistical technique assessed the analysis of precipitation product at different temporal scales (monthly, seasonally, and yearly) to investigate performance score. On the monthly and yearly time scales, product was less reliable with low correlation (0.0057 to 0.67) vary with elevation but best correlation (0.81) and linear regression coefficient (1.02) was calculated at seasonal scale than rest scales. The rainfall captured rate at seasonal scale with (>80%) was more than another scale. The outcome of this product from satellite community is less at monthly scale with significantly under and overestimation and with BIAS (-34.08% to 132.45%) than seasonal and yearly scale. But slightly over and underestimation pattern exist at seasonal scale with BIAS score (5.13% to -19.61%). During winter, research product reduces its systematic bias, NMAE and NRMSE and maintains its potential at also another seasons. The impact of elevation and different rainfall events are also investigated to detect the performance of SM2 satellite. More intense precipitation was captured by SPPs SM2 with high score of POD (> 0.70 to 0.99) vary with respect to more elevation area. The elevation trend increasing gradually from south (near mean sea level) to the northwest (northern areas of Pakistan) that having complex topography with intense rainfall rate. Same interpolated pattern of precipitation were assessed from south to northern areas of Pakistan like elevation using Arc GIS software. The overall evaluated results shows that precipitation product can detect heavy precipitation events easily than less intense events at monthly and yearly scale but reliable to capture at seasonal scale. This SPP is not completely reliable for low precipitation event with high altitude.
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