{"title":"基于Chen和Lee模型的模糊时间序列预测印尼亚齐省新冠肺炎疫情","authors":"S. Saadah, Mochamad Agung Permana","doi":"10.1109/ic2ie53219.2021.9649283","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Indonesia as a development country with huge of population and has five big islands need to study further about spread of COVID-19, especially in Aceh. Aceh is surrounded by water on three sides that are the Indian Ocean to the west and north and the Strait of Malaca to the east. Aceh as one of the provinces in Indonesia severe earthquakes in December 2004. To help monitor Aceh population, thus, in this study Aceh was chosen as the province to predict of survival COVID-19 that classify to ODP, PDP, and Positive using fuzzy time series approach. Fuzzy time series in one of the methods that have been used to predict seasonal issue, such as pandemic COVID-19. By using Chen and Lee model, this approach succeeds to fit the data actual during the predict phase.","PeriodicalId":178443,"journal":{"name":"2021 4th International Conference of Computer and Informatics Engineering (IC2IE)","volume":"96 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Fuzzy Time Series using Chen and Lee Model to Predict COVID-19 in Aceh Indonesia\",\"authors\":\"S. Saadah, Mochamad Agung Permana\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ic2ie53219.2021.9649283\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Indonesia as a development country with huge of population and has five big islands need to study further about spread of COVID-19, especially in Aceh. Aceh is surrounded by water on three sides that are the Indian Ocean to the west and north and the Strait of Malaca to the east. Aceh as one of the provinces in Indonesia severe earthquakes in December 2004. To help monitor Aceh population, thus, in this study Aceh was chosen as the province to predict of survival COVID-19 that classify to ODP, PDP, and Positive using fuzzy time series approach. Fuzzy time series in one of the methods that have been used to predict seasonal issue, such as pandemic COVID-19. By using Chen and Lee model, this approach succeeds to fit the data actual during the predict phase.\",\"PeriodicalId\":178443,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2021 4th International Conference of Computer and Informatics Engineering (IC2IE)\",\"volume\":\"96 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2021 4th International Conference of Computer and Informatics Engineering (IC2IE)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ic2ie53219.2021.9649283\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2021 4th International Conference of Computer and Informatics Engineering (IC2IE)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ic2ie53219.2021.9649283","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Fuzzy Time Series using Chen and Lee Model to Predict COVID-19 in Aceh Indonesia
Indonesia as a development country with huge of population and has five big islands need to study further about spread of COVID-19, especially in Aceh. Aceh is surrounded by water on three sides that are the Indian Ocean to the west and north and the Strait of Malaca to the east. Aceh as one of the provinces in Indonesia severe earthquakes in December 2004. To help monitor Aceh population, thus, in this study Aceh was chosen as the province to predict of survival COVID-19 that classify to ODP, PDP, and Positive using fuzzy time series approach. Fuzzy time series in one of the methods that have been used to predict seasonal issue, such as pandemic COVID-19. By using Chen and Lee model, this approach succeeds to fit the data actual during the predict phase.