后曲线分解

J. Hájek, Karel Šafr, Jiří Rotschedl, Jan Čadil
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文分析了学术文献中提到的拉弗曲线模型,并努力解释与原始曲线和其他学者修改的曲线相关的可能存在的影响。这些影响以理论方式分解,然后用涵盖2000 - 2012年期间的数据集进行统计检验,该数据集包括比利时、丹麦、芬兰、法国、爱尔兰、意大利、卢森堡、德国、荷兰、葡萄牙、奥地利、希腊、英国、西班牙、瑞典、捷克共和国、爱沙尼亚、匈牙利、挪威、波兰、斯洛伐克共和国和斯洛文尼亚的数据。本文的主要附加值在于横断面面板数据回归检验的结果,该模型由曲线的理论分解和特定效果的图形表达而得到。根据分析结果,只能观察到少数分解效应,主要是原来预期的税基与税率的负相关,劳动生产率与税基的正相关或税基与失业率水平的负相关。其他影响(灰色经济、税收竞争、政府支出等)尚未得到证实。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Laffer Curve Decomposed
The paper analyses the models of the Laffer curve addressed in the academic literature and strives to explain the effects which can exist in relation with the original curve and the one modified by other academicians. The effects are decomposed in a theoretical manner and statistically tested thereafter with a dataset covering the period 2000 – 2012 consisting of data for Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, Austria, Greece, United Kingdom, Spain, Sweden, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Norway, Poland, the Slovak Republic and Slovenia. The main value added of the paper lies in the outcomes of the cross-sectional panel data regression testing the model derived from the theoretical decomposition of the curve as well as graphical expression of the particular effects. Based on the result of the analysis only a few of the decomposed effects could have been observed mainly the originally anticipated negative correlation of tax base and tax rate, positive correlation of labor productivity and tax base or negative correlation of tax base and unemployment level. Other effects (grey economy, tax competition, government spending, etc.) were not proven.
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