蒙德极小期(MM)年间特兰西瓦尼亚公国的气候史(公元1645-1715年)

M. Stangl, U. Foelsche
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摘要

摘要本文研究了前特兰西瓦尼亚大公国(现为罗马尼亚三大地理省之一)在所谓的蒙德极小期(1645-1715)内的气候,蒙德极小期是小冰河期(LIA)的一个天体物理学定义的部分,其特征是太阳活动减少。将特兰西瓦尼亚的历史数据与德国、奥地利和瑞士的历史数据进行了比较。1645-1715年期间的比较显示出很好的一致性,但也揭示了该地区的地理特征。这是我们第一次以文字和表格的形式对这四个地理区域进行比较。在英文翻译中引用了大部分来自德语的引文。此外,我们考察了较长时期(1500-1950)特兰西瓦尼亚气候可能受到太阳活动长期波动影响的程度,这是由冰芯的同位素重建推断出来的。这一对比表明太阳有一定的影响,但两者的一致并不十分明显。未来需要在泛欧范围内进行调查,以得出可靠的结论。有些结果是出乎意料的——比如在MM的最后几十年里出现了异常少的严冬,极端寒冷只出现在几年内,比如1699/1700年和1708/1709年的严冬。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate history of the principality of Transylvania during the Maunder Minimum (MM) years (1645–1715 CE)
Abstract. This paper deals with the climate in the former Grand Duchy of Transylvania, now one of the three major geographical provinces of Romania, within the so-called Maunder Minimum (MM) (1645–1715), an astrophysically defined part of the Little Ice Age (LIA), which was characterized by reduced solar activity. The historical data from Transylvania are compared with that from Germany, Austria and Switzerland. This comparison for the period 1645–1715 shows good agreement but also reveals geographic characteristics of the region. For the first time, we present here a comparison between the four geographic areas in text and tabular form. Quotes from mostly German-language sources are reproduced in English translation. Furthermore, we examine for a longer period (1500–1950) the extent to which the climate of Transylvania might have been affected by long-term fluctuations in solar activity, as deduced from isotopic reconstructions from ice cores. This comparison suggests a certain solar influence but the agreement is not very pronounced. Future investigation in a pan-European context is needed to reach reliable statements. Some results are unexpected – like an unusually small number of severe winters during the last decades of the MM, where extreme cold was restricted to a few years, like the extreme winters 1699/1700 and 1708/1709.
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