台风后损害模型(Ṫ-Model)在日本海贝思台风(2019年10月)中的应用

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada, Donghyun Park, Michitaka Umemoto, J. Sapkota
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们介绍一个新的工具来评估台风对人类和经济的影响。新的适用工具是“台风后损害模型(Ṫ-Model)”。Ṫ-Model是基于六个指标的应用,即(i)台风后损害比(Ṫ(i)-Ratio);(ii)台风后损害总值(Ṫ(j)-总值);(iii)台风过后的损害平衡(Ṫ(j)-平衡);(iv)灾后破坏边际率(Ṫ(j)-边际率);(v)台风后破坏临界点(Ṫ(j)-临界点);(vi)灾后破坏面(Ṫ(j)-地表)。六个指标的测量反过来又基于同时评估九个子变量(svi)。这9个子变量都定义在10平方公里的周长范围内。子变量是死亡人数(sv1)、失踪人数(sv2)、生病人数(sv3)、轻伤人数(sv4)、重伤人数(sv5)、疏散人数(sv6)、获得水和电的总人数(sv7)、获得食物和水的总人数(sv8)和住院人数(sv9)。Ṫ-Model的中心目标是评估台风对人类和经济的影响。该模型生成一个微软excel工作表,用于输入、存储、分类、计算和可视化台风在10平方公里范围内造成的人员和经济损失。最后,将Ṫ-Model应用于2019年10月袭击日本的海贝思台风。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Application of the Post-Typhoon Damage Model (Ṫ-Model) to The Typhoon Hagibis in Japan (October 2019)
We introduce a new tool to evaluate the human and economic impact of typhoons. The new applicable tool is the “post-typhoon damage Model (Ṫ-Model)”. The Ṫ-Model is based on the application of six indicators, namely (i) post-typhoon damage ratio (Ṫ(i)-Ratio); (ii) post-typhoon damage total value (Ṫ(j)-Total Value); (iii) post-typhoon damage balance (Ṫ(j)-Balance); (iv) post-typhoon damage marginal rate (Ṫ(j)-Marginal Rate); (v) post-typhoon damage critical point (Ṫ(j)-Critical Point); and (vi) post-typhoon damage surface (Ṫ(j)-Surface). The measurement of the six indicators is based, in turn, on simultaneously evaluating nine sub-variables (svi). The nine sub-variables are all defined to be within a perimeter of 10 km2. The sub-variables are number of deaths (sv1), total number of missing people (sv2), total number of sick people (sv3), total number of people with minor injuries (sv4), total number of critically injured people (sv5), total number of people evacuated(sv6), total number of people with access to water and electricity (sv7), total number of people with access to food and water (sv8), and total number of hospitalized people (sv9). The central objective of the Ṫ-Model is to evaluate the human and economic impact from a typhoon. The model generates a Microsoft excel worksheet that inputs, stores, classifies, calculates, and visualizes a typhoon’s human and economic damage within a perimeter of 10 km2. Finally, the Ṫ-Model was applied to the Hagibis typhoon which hit Japan in October 2019.
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