基于线性规划的巴东海啸疏散路线规划数值模拟

R. D. Prayogo, S. Karimah
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引用次数: 3

摘要

提出了一种基于线性规划的海啸水平疏散路线决策方法。海啸是一种以高速向沿海地区移动的巨浪。巴东是西苏门答腊省的省会城市,位于沿海地区,也有海啸灾难的历史。主要的问题是海啸灾害警报发出后,海啸到达海岸的间隔时间只有几分钟。在疏散概念中,从高危区的疏散人员通过安全的疏散路线转移到避难所。本研究以疏散时间间隔几分钟、每个避难所的容量和疏散人数为约束条件,确定最优疏散路线。疏散时间是一个目标函数,它取决于人口数量、人口密度、道路宽度、从高危区域到避难所的距离以及速度。采用Matlab线性规划软件进行了数值模拟。结果表明,在规定的疏散时间内,各高危区所有疏散人员均按比例疏散至可用的避难区域。本研究结果可为巴东当局的海啸疏散计划及灾后复原力管理提供支援。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Numerical Simulation of Tsunami Evacuation Route Planning in Padang Using Linear Programming
This paper proposes an implementation of linear programming in tsunami horizontal evacuation routes decision making. A tsunami is a huge wave that travels with high speed towards a coastal area. Padang is the capital city of West Sumatera Province that is located in the coastal area as well as have a history of the tsunami disaster. The main problem is only a few minutes of the interval for the tsunami waves arrive at the coast after tsunami hazard warning. In the evacuation concept, the evacuees from the high-risk zone are moving to the shelter through a safe evacuation route. This research aims to determine the optimal evacuation routes with the constraints of a few minutes of the interval of evacuation time, the capacity of each shelter, and the number of evacuees. The evacuation time is an objective function that depends on the number of population, people density, road width, distance from the high-risk zone to the shelter, and velocity. The numerical simulation is done using linear programming with Matlab. The results show that all evacuees in each high-risk region are proportionally evacuated to available shelter areas within allocated evacuation time. The results of this research can be used for supporting tsunami evacuation plans and disaster resilience management by the authorities in Padang.
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