高加索地区近60年的气候:降水和温度趋势及异常

B. Ashabokov, A. Tashilova, L. A. Kesheva, N. V. Teunova, Kh. M. Kalov, L. M. Fedchenko, R. Kalov, A. Khavtsukov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了1961 - 2017年该区各气候带平均气温、最低气温、最高气温、总降水量和最大日降水量的季节和年变化趋势。研究期间分为1961年至1975年和1976年至2017年两个时间段。自1976年以来,在高加索地区所有气候带,年平均气温的负趋势转变为正趋势。在所有气候带中,夏季的生长最为强劲。季节和年降水模式的变化不那么明显:降水量和日最大值都有增加和减少。本文提出了在近几十年来夏季气温增长速度增加的背景下Terskol(高山区)冰川退化速度的数值评估。对2017年高加索地区月平均气温的区域距平分析表明,高加索地区月平均气温的历史最高值出现在2010年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate of the Caucasus Region of the Last 60 Years: Precipitation and Temperature Trends and Anomalies
Seasonal, annual trends of average, minimum and maximum temperatures, total precipitation and maximum daily precipitation from 1961 to 2017 in various climatic zones of the region have been studied in the paper. The study period was divided into two intervals from 1961 to 1975 and from 1976 to 2017. Since 1976, in all climatic zones of the Caucasus region, negative trends in average annual temperatures changed direction to positive ones. The strongest growth was observed in the summer season in all climatic zones. Changes in the seasonal and annual rainfall patterns are not so obvious: both an increase and a decrease in the amount of precipitation and daily maximums were observed. The paper presents a numerical assessment of the rate of degradation of glaciers in Terskol (high-mountainous zone) against the background of an increase in the rate of growth of summer temperatures in recent decades. Analysis of regional anomalies of mean monthly temperatures in 2017 showed that the record high value of mean monthly temperatures in the Caucasus region was in 2010.
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