区域与全球:外交政策分析的时空框架

Haroldo Ramanzini Júnior, V. Vieira
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引用次数: 1

摘要

区域环境是否会影响一个国家的国际社会化,从而影响它对外部事务的看法?如果是这样的话,这个过程是如何发生的,对一个国家的全球外交政策有什么影响?我们通过阐述一个解释外交政策中时空相互作用的分析框架来解决这两个问题。我们通过报告对巴西和印度对《不扩散条约》的看法进行比较的初步结果来完成这项任务。通过差异法,我们得出结论,这些新兴大国对《不扩散核武器条约》的态度源于它们所处的区域权力动态。巴西与其主要的地区竞争对手阿根廷解决了南美敏感的安全问题,在20世纪90年代将地区关系制度化,而印度在南亚继续面临与邻国,特别是巴基斯坦的持久紧张局势。因此,在1998年签署了《不扩散核武器条约》(NPT)后,巴西的政策制定者比印度同行更能以良性的视角看待冷战后的国际社会。同年,印度成为一个核大国。其他问题领域-即环境、人权和贸易-将在未来使用相同的框架进行分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regions and the Globe: A Spatial-Temporal Framework for Foreign Policy Analysis
Does the regional environment shape a state's international socialization and, thus, its perception on external affairs? If this is the case, how does such a process happen and what are the consequences for a state's global foreign policy? We tackle both questions by elaborating an analytical framework that accounts for spatial-temporal interactions in foreign policy. We accomplish such a task by reporting the preliminary findings of a comparison of Brazil's and India's views on the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Through the method of difference, we conclude that those emerging powers' approaches to the NPT derive from the regional dynamic of power in which they are embedded. Brazil solved sensitive security issues in South America with its main regional rival, Argentina, institutionalizing regional relationships in the 1990s, whereas India continued to face enduring tensions in South Asia with its neighbors, particularly Pakistan. Brazilian policymakers thus perceived the post-Cold War international society through more benign lenses than their Indian counterparts, having signed the NPT in 1998. In that same year, India became a nuclear power. Other issue-areas — namely the environment, human rights, and trade — shall be analyzed in the future using the same framework.
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