具有AR(2)误差的一般线性回归模型的Kibria-Lukman估计:与Monte Carlo模拟的比较研究

T. SÖKÜT AÇAR
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引用次数: 0

摘要

回归模型中最小二乘估计的灵敏度受到多重共线性和自相关问题的影响。为了处理多重共线性,统计文献中提出了Ridge、Liu和Ridge型偏估计量。最近提出的Kibria-Lukman估计量就是ridge型估计量之一。文献比较了Kibria-Lukman估计与其他使用均方误差准则的线性回归模型。研究了一阶自回归误差自相关下Kibria-Lukman估计量的性能。当存在二阶自相关问题时,根据均方误差准则评价Kibria-Lukman估计器的性能使本文具有独创性。利用蒙特卡罗模拟和两个实例计算了二阶自回归误差结构下Kibria-Lukman估计量的标量均方误差,并与广义最小二乘、Ridge和Liu估计量进行了比较。结果表明,当模型的方差较小时,Kibria-Lukman估计器的均方误差与流行的有偏估计器的值非常接近。随着模型方差的增大,Kibria-Lukman给出的有偏估计值与方差较小的模型中的值不太相似。然而,根据均方误差准则,Kibria-Lukman估计量在所有可能情况下都优于广义最小二乘估计量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Kibria-Lukman Estimator for General Linear Regression Model with AR(2) Errors: A Comparative Study with Monte Carlo Simulation
The sensitivity of the least-squares estimation in a regression model is impacted by multicollinearity and autocorrelation problems. To deal with the multicollinearity, Ridge, Liu, and Ridge-type biased estimators have been presented in the statistical literature. The recently proposed Kibria-Lukman estimator is one of the Ridge-type estimators. The literature has compared the Kibria-Lukman estimator with the others using the mean square error criterion for the linear regression model. It was achieved in a study conducted on the Kibria-Lukman estimator's performance under the first-order autoregressive erroneous autocorrelation. When there is an autocorrelation problem with the second-order, evaluating the performance of the Kibria-Lukman estimator according to the mean square error criterion makes this paper original. The scalar mean square error of the Kibria-Lukman estimator under the second-order autoregressive error structure was evaluated using a Monte Carlo simulation and two real examples, and compared with the Generalized Least-squares, Ridge, and Liu estimators. The findings revealed that when the variance of the model was small, the mean square error of the Kibria-Lukman estimator gave very close values with the popular biased estimators. As the model variance grew, Kibria-Lukman did not give fairly similar values with popular biased estimators as in the model with small variance. However, according to the mean square error criterion the Kibria-Lukman estimator outperformed the Generalized Least-Squares estimator in all possible cases.
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