国外市场现金流风险:一个跨国公司层面的研究

Robert A. Connolly, Arzu Ozoguz, D. Ravenscraft
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引用次数: 1

摘要

由于最近的金融一体化和贸易和投资流动的日益区域性,我们研究了国际和国内公司与国际市场相关的现金流量风险的存在和特征。具体而言,除了通常的国内市场指数外,我们还研究了企业层面的现金流敞口是否随区域或全球市场指数而变化。我们调查了这种风险敞口如何随着可识别的公司特征(如国际销售风险敞口)而变化,以及这种风险敞口是否在不同国家之间存在系统性差异。我们还以亚洲经济和金融危机为自然实验,研究了相同的模型是否可以用于衡量危机时期和非危机时期的风险敞口。我们的实证调查依赖于1996年7月至1998年6月期间来自8个(非美国)国家的1325家公司的样本。我们在样本中发现了区域现金流暴露的重要证据,并且这种暴露与该地区的公司销售额成比例增加。我们还发现,即使是国内公司也会受到其他地区股市的影响。最后,我们发现有明确证据表明,在亚洲地区拥有大量销售额的公司在危机期间的风险敞口增加了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Market Cash Flow Exposure: A Multi-Country, Firm-Level Study
Prompted by recent financial integration and increasingly regional nature of trade and investment flows, we investigate the existence and characteristics of international market-related cash flow exposures for international and domestic companies. Specifically, we study whether firm-level cash flow exposure varies with a regional or global market index in addition to the usual domestic market index. We investigate how this exposure varies with identifiable firm characteristics such international sales exposure and whether this exposure differs systematically across a variety of different countries. We also investigate whether the same model may be used to measure exposure in crisis and non-crisis periods using the Asian economic and financial crisis as a natural experiment. Our empirical investigation relies on a sample of 1325 companies from eight (non-U.S.) countries for the period July 1996 - June 1998. We find significant evidence of regional cash flow exposure across our sample, and this exposure increases in proportion to firm sales in the region. We also find evidence that even domestic companies are influenced by the stock market in other regions. Finally, we find clear evidence of increased exposure for companies with significant sales in Asia during the crisis in that region.
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