维谢格拉德集团政府支出与经济增长的关系

Irena Szarowská
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要本文的目的是考察2000-2020年维谢格拉德集团政府支出与经济增长之间的关系。经济理论和已发表的研究表明,政府支出是确保经济增长的一个重要因素,这是近年来人们越来越感兴趣的主题。本文的重点是政府支出的发展,在分析期间各国政府支出构成的变化,以及这些变量之间的影响方向。实际国内生产总值时间序列进行了周期性调整,政府支出的年度数据也按照COFOG国际标准使用。结果表明,尽管公共部门的规模存在差异,但维谢格拉德集团的政府支出及其构成是相似的。另一方面,各国政府支出的周期性有所不同。结果表明,在监测期间,维谢格拉德集团国家没有使用政府支出作为稳定器。斯洛伐克的政府支出是非周期性的,而维斯格勒集团其他国家的政府支出是顺周期性的。运用格兰杰因果关系方法对政府支出与经济增长之间的关系给出了复杂的结论。然而,GDP增长与政府支出及其划分之间的单向格兰杰因果关系占主导地位,即经济增长先,政府支出后。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Relationship between government expenditure and economic growth in Visegrad Group
Abstract The goal of the article is to examine the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth in the Visegrad Group in the period 2000-2020. Economic theory as well as published studies have suggested that government expenditure is an important factor in ensuring economic growth, which has been the subject of increased interest in recent years. The article focuses on development of government expenditure, changes in its composition in individual countries during the analyzed period, and also on the direction of influence between these variables. Real GDP time series were cyclically adjusted as well as annual data on government expenditure which were used in compliance with the COFOG international standard. The results suggest that government expenditure and their composition are similar in the Visegrad Group despite the existing differences in the size of the public sector. On the other hand, the cyclicality of government expenditure differs across the countries. Results suggest that countries of the Visegrad Group did not use government expenditure as a stabilizer in the monitored period. Government expenditure was acyclical in Slovakia and procyclical in other countries of the Vise-grad Group. Applied Granger causality methodology provides mixed conclusions about the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth. Nevertheless, unidirectional Granger causality from GDP growth to government expenditure and its divisions predominates, which means that economic growth comes first, followed by government expenditure.
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