基于全新高质量基线气候学面1952 - 2019年中国1公里月降水气温数据集

Haibo Gong, Xueqiao Xiang, Huiyu Liu, Xiaojuan Xu, Fusheng Jiao, Zhen-shan Lin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要长期气候数据和高质量、高分辨率的基线气候学面是气候学、生态科学、水文科学、环境科学等多个领域的基础。在此,我们建立了一个全新的基线气候面(ChinaClim_baseline),并建立了1952-2019年中国1 km月降水和温度数据集(ChinaClim_timeseries)。利用薄板样条(TPS)算法,在考虑卫星驱动产品的不同模式下,在每个月生成ChinaClim_baseline和月度气候距平面。同时,利用气候辅助插值(CAI)将月距平面与ChinaClim_baseline叠加,生成ChinaClim_timeseries。结果表明,ChinaClim_baseline具有非常高的性能。降水估算R2均大于0.860,rmse和MAEs分别为8.149 mm~21.959 mm和2.787~14.125 mm。各月份温度要素的平均R2为0.967~0.992,平均MAEs为0.321~0.785℃,平均rmse为0.485 ~ 1.233℃。ChinaClim_baseline的表现明显优于WorldClim2和CHELSA,且在夏季月份和温带大陆性高寒高原低密度气象站分布区域存在较大的空间差异。ChinaClim_timeseries各月份降水平均R2为0.699~0.923,平均RMSE为7.449 ~ 56.756 mm,平均MAE为4.263~40.271 mm。各月份温度要素的平均R2为0.936~0.985,平均RMSE为0.807 ~ 1.766℃,平均MAE为0.548~1.236℃。与Peng的气候面和CHELSAcruts相比,降水的R2增加了约6%,RMSE和MAE减少了约15%;温度的R2变化不明显,但RMSE和MAE降低了8.37% ~ 34.02%。结果表明,得益于ChinaClim_baseline和卫星驱动产品,ChinaClim_timeseries的年际变化表现明显优于其他数据集。而ChinaClim_baseline对降水的估计精度没有显著提高,但对温度的估计精度有较大提高;卫星驱动的TRMM3B43异常极大地提高了1998年后降水估计的精度,而地表温度异常没有有效提高温度估计的精度。ChinaClim_baseline可以作为一个很好的基线气候学面,用于获取从过去到未来的高质量和长期气候数据集。同时,基于ChinaClim_baseline的1 km空间分辨率的ChinaClim_timeseries非常适合研究中国的时空气候变化及其对生态环境系统的影响。其中,ChinaClim_baseline在https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4287824 (Gong, 2020a),降水的ChinaClim_timeseries在https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4288388 (Gong, 2020b),最高气温的ChinaClim_timeseries在https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4288390 (Gong, 2020c),最低气温的ChinaClim_timeseries在https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4288392 (Gong, 2020d)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
1 km Monthly Precipitation and Temperatures Dataset for China from 1952 to 2019 based on a Brand-New and High-Quality Baseline Climatology Surface
Abstract. Long-term climate data and high-quality baseline climatology surface with high resolution are highly essential to multiple fields in climatological, ecological, hydrological, and environmental sciences. Here, we created a brand-new baseline climatology surface (ChinaClim_baseline) and developed a 1 km monthly precipitation and temperatures dataset in China during 1952–2019 (ChinaClim_timeseries). Thin plate spline (TPS) algorithm in each month with different model formulations by accounting for satellite-driven products, was used to generate ChinaClim_baseline and monthly climate anomaly surface. Meanwhile, climatologically aided interpolation (CAI) was used to superimpose monthly anomaly surface with ChinaClim_baseline to generate ChinaClim_timeseries. Our results showed that ChinaClim_baseline exhibited very high performance. For precipitation estimation, the value of all R2 was over 0.860, and the values of RMSEs and MAEs were 8.149 mm~21.959 mm and 2.787~14.125 mm, respectively. Temperature elements had an average R2 of 0.967~0.992, an average MAEs of 0.321~0.785 °C, and an average RMSEs between 0.485 and 1.233 °C for all months. ChinaClim_baseline performed much better than WorldClim2 and CHELSA and there were many spatial discrepancies captured among those surfaces, especially in summer months and the regions with low-density weather stations in temperate continental and high cold Tibetan Plateau. For ChinaClim_timeseries, precipitation had an average R2 of 0.699~0.923, an average RMSE between 7.449 mm and 56.756 mm, and an average of MAE of 4.263~40.271 mm for all months. Temperature elements had an average R2 of 0.936~0.985, an average RMSE between 0.807 °C and 1.766 °C, and an average MAE of 0.548~1.236 °C for all months. Compared with Peng's climate surface and CHELSAcruts, R2 increased by approximately 6 %, RMSE and MAE decreased by approximately 15 % for precipitation; R2 of temperatures had no obviously changes, but RMSE and MAE decreased by 8.37~34.02 %. The results showed that the interannual variations of ChinaClim_timeseries performed much better than other datasets, thanks to the help of ChinaClim_baseline and satellite-driven products. However, ChinaClim_baseline did not significantly improve the accuracy of precipitation estimation, but it greatly improved the accuracy of temperature estimation; the satellite-driven TRMM3B43 anomaly greatly improve the accuracy of precipitation estimation after 1998, while the LST anomaly did not effectively improve the accuracy of temperature estimation. ChinaClim_baseline can be used as an excellent baseline climatology surface for obtaining high-quality and long-term climate datasets from past to future. In the meantime, ChinaClim_timeseries of 1 km spatial resolution based on ChinaClim_baseline, is very suitable for investigating the spatial-temporal climate changes and their impacts on eco-environmental systems in China. Here, ChinaClim_baseline is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4287824 (Gong, 2020a), ChinaClim_timeseries of precipitation is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4288388 (Gong, 2020b), ChinaClim_timeseries of maximum temperature is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4288390 (Gong, 2020c) and ChinaClim_timeseries of minimum temperature is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4288392 (Gong, 2020d).
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