基于模糊逻辑模型的南帕尔斯天然气综合厂突发事件安全装配点识别

Salehe Nematifard, K. Jahangiri, Alireza Haj Qasem Khan, Hamid Reza Jamshidi Solukloei, Saeed Bahramzadeh Gandeshmin, G. M. Tehrani
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引用次数: 2

摘要

导语:危机管理在石油和天然气行业中至关重要,因为这些领域的事故发生率越来越高。在这些行业中,危机管理最重要的问题之一是确定紧急情况下员工应该聚集的安全集合点。本研究旨在利用地理资讯系统(GIS)与模糊逻辑,找出某炼油厂的安全点。方法:针对研究目的,收集所需数据,召开专家焦点小组会议,采用HAZOP方法确定影响安全点分区的标准和高危单元。在确定影响分区的准则和子准则后,计算各分区参数的权重,并利用GIS环境下的模糊逻辑模型及其算子确定安全区域。结果:根据风险评价结果,将影响区划的标准和子标准划分为不一致(层权为0.740)、一致(层权为0.094)和接近出口通道(层权为0.167)三类。此外,基于模糊逻辑模型的地图结果显示,该炼油厂的消防站、诊所和污水处理厂附近是员工在紧急情况下应该聚集的三个安全点。结论:研究结果表明,在工业突发事件中,安全点分区标准的选择具有重要意义。此外,最初的风险评估可以有效地确定这些标准和子标准。此外,模糊逻辑模型在确定合适的安全场所方面具有较高的准确度和精密度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identification of Safe Assembly Points in Emergencies in a Gas Refinery of the South Pars Gas Complex Using Fuzzy Logic Model
INTRODUCTION: Crisis management is of critical importance in the oil and gas industries due to the increasing occurrence of accidents in these areas. One of the most important issues regarding crisis management in such industries is the identification of safety assembly points where employees should gather in emergencies. This study aimed to identify the safe points in a refinery using geographic information system (GIS) and fuzzy logic for emergency assembly. METHODS: Regarding the aim of the study purpose, the required data were collected, and a focus group meeting was held with experts to determine the criteria influencing the safety point zoning as well as high-risk units using the HAZOP method. After the identification of the criteria and sub-criteria affecting the zoning, the weight of each zoning parameter was calculated, and the safety zones were determined using the fuzzy logic model and its operators in the GIS environment. FINDINGS: According to the results of the risk assessment, the criteria and sub-criteria affecting zoning were divided into three categories of inconsistent (layer weight: 0.740), consistent (layer weight: 0.094), and access to exit routes (layer weight: 0.167). Moreover, the map results based on the fuzzy logic model revealed three safe points, including the vicinity of the fire station, clinic, and wastewater treatment plant in this refinery where the employees should gather in the event of emergencies. CONCLUSION: The results of this study showed that the selection of appropriate criteria in safe point zoning is of great importance in the emergencies in the industries. Moreover, an initial risk assessment can be effective in determining these criteria and sub-criteria. In addition, the fuzzy logic model has high accuracy and precision in determining the appropriate safe places.
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