基于深度神经网络的中央空调制冷系统能效预测

Haitao Song, Yijun Chen, Jiajia Li, Tianyi Wang, Hao Shen, Cheng He
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引用次数: 1

摘要

中央空调是一项复杂的系统工程,对其性能的评估和预测往往涉及到非常多的因素。系统能源效率的准确评估对于系统能源需求管理和性能改进至关重要。因此,研究人员通过构建中央空调的热力学模型和力学模型进行了大量的能效预测相关工作,最近也有人尝试将这些模型与基于数据挖掘和机器学习的方法相结合。制冷系统的能效预测问题通常可以看作是一个多变量时间序列(MTS)问题,它遵循一个隐马尔可夫过程。随着人工智能技术的发展,基于深度神经网络的时间预测模型在许多应用领域取得了重要进展。为了提高能效预测任务的准确性,本文采用了一种基于LSTNet的改进模型。我们对实际中央空调制冷循环系统的数据集进行了性能预测。结果,我们发现预测结果与地面真值之间存在显著的相关性。我们的方法是比较几种常见的基线方法评估和预测制冷系统的性能。实验结果表明,该方法的性能总体上优于那些基线方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Energy Efficiency Forecasting for Central Air-conditioning Refrigeration Systems Based on Deep Neural Network
Central air-conditioning is a complex system project, and the assessment and forecasting of its performance often involves a very large number of factors. Accurate assessment of a system's energy efficiency is crucial for system energy demand management and performance improvement. Therefore, researchers have done a lot of related work focusing on energy efficiency forecasting by constructing thermodynamic and mech-anistic models of central air conditioning, and recently there have been attempts to combine these models with methods based on data mining and machine learning as well. The problem of predicting energy efficiency in refrigeration systems can be, generally, viewed as a multivariate time-series(MTS) problem following a hidden Markov process. With the development of artificial intelligence techniques, deep neural network-based tem-poral prediction models have made important advances in many application areas. This study aims to achieve higher accuracy for energy efficiency forecasting tasks, using an improved model based on LSTNet. We conducted performance prediction on a dataset collected from a real-world central air-conditioning refrigeration circulation system. As a result, we found significant correlation between the prediction result and ground truth. Our method is compared with several common baseline methods for assessing and predicting the performance of refrigeration systems. Experimental results show that our method generally achieves better performance than those baseline methods.
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