热力学模型在经济学中的有效性

A. Kovalev
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摘要

生态经济学的论文和专著包括引用乔治斯库-罗根关于经济稀缺性的热力学性质的著作。基于缺乏对热力学系统和边界条件的精确定义的定性推理,乔治斯库-罗根提出了几个关于长期可持续性的结论,并建议“热力学第四定律”是经典热力学第二定律的修改版本。尽管对“第四定律”几乎一致持否定态度,Georgescu-Roegen对稀缺性的热力学类比在生态经济学中仍然被广泛引用,这可能被认为相当于隐含地接受了这一矛盾的说法。这个例子表明,在热过程之外使用热力学模型和概念时必须小心。在软科学中,要保证热力学方法的有效性是特别困难的。忽视热过程的热力学描述与热力学类比之间的区别可能会掩盖类比的错误有效性。在社会科学中,将描述性热力学类比误认为严格模型可能更难发现,因为软科学往往更经常使用描述性概念。由此产生的概念和量,如物质熵,必须进行批判性的分析,在某些情况下,必须根据它们与热力学的联系进行仔细的考虑来重新定义。热经济优化的例子表明,在不重新定义基本热力学概念的情况下,将热力学纳入经济分析在方法上更加一致和透明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Validity of Thermodynamic Models in Economics
Papers and monographs in ecological economics include references to Georgescu-Roegen's works on the thermodynamic nature of economic scarcity. Based on qualitative reasoning lacking precise definitions of thermodynamic systems and boundary conditions Georgescu-Roegen formulated several conclusions concerning long-term sustainability and suggested "the 4th law of thermodynamics" being an altered version of the classical 2nd law of thermodynamics. Despite an almost unanimous negative perception of the "4th law", Georgescu-Roegen's thermodynamic analogy for scarcity is still widely cited in ecological economics, which may be considered equivalent to implicit acceptance of this contradictory statement.This example demonstrates that care must be taken when using thermodynamic models and concepts outside the context of thermal processes. It is particularly difficult to ensure the validity of the thermodynamic method in softer sciences. Neglect of the difference between the thermodynamic description of thermal processes and a thermodynamic analogy may camouflage the false validity of the analogy. In social sciences, mistaking descriptive thermodynamic analogy for a rigorous model may be harder to spot because softer sciences tend to work with descriptive concepts more often. The resulting notions and quantities, such as the material entropy, must be analyzed critically and, in some cases, redefined based on the careful consideration of their connection with thermodynamics.The example of thermoeconomic optimization shows that incorporation of thermodynamics into economic analysis without redefining basic thermodynamic concepts is more methodologically consistent and transparent.
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