气候变化对海平面上升对新万金海堤的影响

Bae-Seong Lee, Min-Kyu Jung, H. Kwon
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引用次数: 1

摘要

2011年竣工的新万金海堤是世界上最长的海堤。当今最紧迫的问题之一是,气候变化导致海平面上升,这可能会增加海堤溢出的风险。但是,气候变化会对新万金海堤产生什么样的影响,目前还没有得到验证。本文采用线性回归分析方法、连续小波变换(CWT)方法和集合经验模态分解(EEMD)方法对海平面上升对新万金海堤的影响进行了估计。对新万金地区近30年的海平面资料进行分析的结果显示,采用EEMD方法时,新万金海堤的最大海平面上升速度为2.51 mm/年。也就是说,在366年后,海平面上升幅度将超过干水线,因此对新万金海堤的影响相对较小,目前还没有明显的问题迹象。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Change Impacts of Sea Level Rise on the Saemangeum Sea Dike
The Saemangeum Sea Dike, completed in 2011 in South Korea, is the longest sea dike in the world. One of the most pressing issues of today, climate change leads to sea-level rise that could increase the risk of sea dike overflow. However, what impact climate change will have on the Saemangeum Sea Dike has not been verified yet. Here, we estimate the impacts of sea-level rise on the Saemangeum Sea Dike, using the Linear Regression Analysis method, the Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) method, and the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) method. The sea level data of the Saemangeum area over the last 30 years were analyzed, and the results showed that the maximum rate of sea-level rise of the Saemangeum Sea Dike is at 2.51 mm/year when the EEMD method was applied. It means that the impact of sea-level rise on the Saemangeum sea dike is reasonably low because the sea level rise will exceed the freeboard after 366 years, so there is currently no clear sign that it poses a problem.
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