管理基于水的投资组合中的水文风险

L. Barroso, S. Granville, J. Trinkenreich, M. Pereira, P. Lino
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引用次数: 15

摘要

这项工作的目的是分析水力发电厂(或水力发电组合)在水力发电市场中面临的水文风险以及可能的缓解措施。这种风险出现在低流入季节,可能导致这些代理商在现货市场上的高财务风险敞口。分析将借助优化模型进行。特别要分析的是在水电组合中插入一个热电厂。该资产可以作为投资组合的保险(或后备),并通过新组合中能源之间的协同作用显著降低风险。案例研究将与巴西的系统,这是基于水力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Managing hydrological risks in hydro-based portfolios
The objective of this work is to analyze the hydrological risk faced by hydro plants (or hydro based portfolios) in hydropower based markets and possible mitigation measures. This risk, which arises in low inflow seasons, can lead to high financial exposures of these agents in the spot market. The analysis will be carried out with the aid of optimization models. In particular the insertion of a thermal plant into the hydro portfolio will be analyzed. This asset can work as an insurance (or back-up) to the portfolio and provide significant risk reductions with the synergy among the energy sources in the new mix. Case studies will be presented with the Brazilian system, which is hydro based.
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