北非粮食安全的经济决定因素分析

E. Kopnova, L. Rodionova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文以北非为例,探讨粮食安全作为经济稳定发展基础的问题。基于1991-2014年联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)和世界银行的官方国际统计数据,使用面板协整模型对与粮食安全决定因素相关的经济和金融因素进行了统计分析。结果表明,人口增长和农业生产的集约化、对外贸易和外国直接投资对粮食安全起着至关重要的作用。该研究揭示了粮食安全与该地区银行和金融体系的发展及其全球化程度之间的关系。世界银行和粮农组织为消除饥饿和贫穷而采取的长期投资政策战略是合理的。所提出的方法可用于监测和评价维持非洲各区域粮食安全政策的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Analysis of the Economic Determinants of Food Security in North Africa
This paper investigates the issue of food security as the basis for stable economic development using the example of North Africa. A statistical analysis of economic and financial factors in relation to the determinants of food security was carried out using a panel cointegrating model based on official international statistics of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the World Bank for 1991-2014. According to the results, population growth and the intensification of agricultural production, foreign trade and foreign direct investment play a crucial role in food security. The study revealed the relationship between food security and the development of the banking and financial systems in the region, and their degree of globalization. The strategy of a long-term investment policy pursued by the World Bank and FAO to combat hunger and poverty was justified. The methodology proposed can be used to monitor and evaluate the effectiveness of policies to maintain food security in the regions of Arfica.
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