基于动态k -最近邻算法和距离与属性加权的候选债务人信用可收回性预测

Tiara Fajrin, R. Saputra, I. Waspada
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引用次数: 1

摘要

BPR银行Jepara Artha是为中小微企业(MSME)积极分子提供贷款的银行之一。BPR Bank Jepara Artha的贷款活动存在不良贷款问题,特别是在贷款中小微企业活动中经常发生,因此需要一个应用程序来预测债务人申请人的贷款可收回性,以尽量减少问题。本研究将其中一种数据挖掘分类算法应用于应用程序中,产生的输出可以作为接受或拒绝贷款申请人的决策考虑的信息源或第二意见。所使用的算法是动态k-最近邻和距离属性加权算法,即在k-最近邻算法上动态选择k,添加属性和距离权重。用于确定预测结果的属性是5C(性格、能力、资本、抵押品、经济状况)、月收入、其他地方的债务状况、受抚养人数、年龄、商品类型和业务状况。动态k -最近邻和距离与属性加权算法的性能度量结果使用240个老客户的历史数据,由领域专家指定属性的重要度排序和10倍交叉验证,k=3时准确率最高,达到65.83%,精密度值为56.10%,召回率为50%。在该算法中使用权值属性比不使用权值属性具有更高的准确率、精密度和召回率。当k=5时,由关联属性评估确定的属性的重要顺序的变化比由领域专家确定的属性的重要顺序产生更高的召回值54.35%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Credit Collectibility Prediction of Debtor Candidate Using Dynamic K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm and Distance and Attribute Weighted
BPR Bank Jepara Artha is one of the banks that provide loan for activist of MSME (Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises). The activity of loaning in BPR Bank Jepara Artha has bad loan issue that often occured especially on loan MSME activist, therefore it needs an application to predict the loan Collectibility of debtor applicant to minimize the issue. This research applied one of Data Mining classification algorithms in the application that produces output that can serve as information sources or second opinion for the consideration in decision making to accept or reject the loan applicant. The algorithm that be used was Dynamic K-Nearest Neighbor and Distance and Attribute Weighted algorithm which is a dynamic selection of k, addition of attribute and distance weight on k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm. The attributes that be used to determine the prediction result are 5C (Character, Capacity, Capital, Collateral, Condition of Economic), monthly income, debt status elsewhere, number of dependents, age, type of commodity and business status. The results of Dynamic K-Nearest Neighbor and Distance and Attribute Weighted algorithm performance measurement use historical datas of 240 old customer, the order of importance of the attribute specified by domain expert and 10-fold Cross Validation yield the highest accuracy of 65.83% with precision value of 56.10% and recall value of 50% for k=3. Using weight attribute in this algorithm performs higher accuracy, precision and recall than the one which does not use it. The change in the order of importance of the attributes determined by Correlation Attribute Evaluation yield in a higher recall value of 54.35% for k=5 than the order of importance of the attributes determined by the domain expert.
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