模拟核打击的后果

Valerii L. Makarov, A. Ageev, A. Bakhtizin, E. Grabchak, E. L. Loginov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

国际紧张局势加剧的风险大大加剧了发生核冲突的可能性。国际舞台上的主要地缘政治参与者实际上已经认识到使用核武器的可能性,甚至是权宜之计。在这方面,极为迫切需要模拟核打击的后果,以便为严重性质的紧急情况做好准备。本文分析了国外在这方面使用数字模拟器的经验。作者概述了俄罗斯在分析核打击效应的非军事(民用)方面为此目的应用基于代理的模拟方法的观点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling the Consequences of a Nuclear Strike
The risks of increasing international tension have sharply exacerbated the possibility of a nuclear conflict. The main geopolitical players in the international arena have actually recognized the possibility and even expediency of using nuclear weapons. In this context, the need to simulate the consequences of a nuclear strike in order to prepare for emergencies of a critical nature has become extremely urgent. The present article analyzes foreign experience of using digital simulators to this end. The authors outline Russian views on applying agent-based simulation methods for this purpose in the analysis of non-military (civilian) aspects of a nuclear blow effects.
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