人口建模的哲学方法

L. Botsford, J. White, A. Hastings
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章描述了我们如何使用模型,以及模型应该有多复杂。首先是战略人口模型和战术人口模型的区别。它描述了模型的科学应用和实际应用背后的逻辑,分别对应于演绎逻辑和归纳逻辑的实现。这两种方法都需要将模型的结构与现实世界进行比较的能力,也就是现实主义。提供现实性需要精确地定义系统的状态,也就是说,从一个时间瞬间到下一个时间瞬间投射系统状态所必需的信息。这是拥有具有年龄、大小、阶段和空间结构的模型的基础。此外,生物学中有不同层次的生态整合,每一个层次都倾向于解释下一个更高的层次。种群动态取决于个体生物的存活率和繁殖率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Philosophical approach to population modeling
This chapter describes how we can use models, and how complex models should be. It begins with the difference between strategic and tactical population models. It describes the logic underlying both the scientific and the practical use of models, which corresponds with implementing deductive and inductive logic, respectively. Both approaches demand the ability to compare the structure of the model to the real world, that is, realism. Providing realism requires precisely defining the state of a system, that is, the information necessary to project the state of that system from one time instant to the next. This is the basis for having models with age, size, stage, and spatial structure. Additionally, there are different levels of ecological integration in biology, and each level tends to explain the next higher level. Population dynamics depend on the survival and reproductive rates of individual organisms.
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