移民是否威胁美国公共安全?

Pia M. Orrenius, M. Zavodny
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引用次数: 1

摘要

反对移民的人经常声称,移民,特别是那些未经授权的移民,比美国本地人更有可能犯罪,并对公共安全构成威胁。几乎没有证据支持这些说法。事实上,绝大多数研究表明,与同类美国本地人相比,移民犯下暴力和财产犯罪的可能性更小,移民较多的地区的暴力和财产犯罪率与移民较少的地区相似或更低。专门针对非法移民犯罪行为的研究相对较少,但有限的研究表明,这些移民的犯罪倾向也低于本土出生的同龄人,尽管可能高于合法移民。有关合法化计划的证据与这些发现一致,表明合法化计划可以降低犯罪率。与此同时,加强边境执法减少了非法移民流入,对犯罪率产生了复杂的影响。与最近提出或实施的其他几项政策相比,目前尚未认真考虑的大规模合法化计划更有可能改善公共安全。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Immigrants Threaten U.S. Public Safety?
Opponents of immigration often claim that immigrants, particularly those who are unauthorized, are more likely than U.S. natives to commit crimes and that they pose a threat to public safety. There is little evidence to support these claims. In fact, research overwhelmingly indicates that immigrants are less likely than similar U.S. natives to commit violent and property crimes, and that areas with more immigrants have similar or lower rates of violent and property crimes than areas with fewer immigrants. There are relatively few studies specifically of criminal behavior among unauthorized immigrants, but the limited research suggests that these immigrants also have a lower propensity to commit crime than their native-born peers, although possibly a higher propensity than legal immigrants. Evidence about legalization programs is consistent with these findings, indicating that a legalization program reduces crime rates. Meanwhile, increased border enforcement, which reduces unauthorized immigrant inflows, has mixed effects on crime rates. A large-scale legalization program, which is not currently under serious consideration, has more potential to improve public safety and security than several other policies that have recently been proposed or implemented.
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