弥合差距:家庭如何使用在线平台经济来管理他们的现金流

Diana Farrell, Fiona Greig, Amar Hamoudi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

当一个家庭遇到现金流中断时,他们可以通过减少储蓄、借贷、削减支出或创造补充收入来进行调整。随着在线平台经济的兴起,最后一种选择可能变得更加可行。在本报告中,我们利用摩根大通研究所在线平台经济数据集,该数据集追踪了2012年10月至2018年3月期间128个在线平台向230万个参与平台的家庭支付的款项,以调查家庭是否以及如何使用在线平台经济作为现金流管理工具来平滑其收入。我们从两个相反的角度来考察这个问题。首先,我们跟踪一个家庭进入在线平台经济之前和之后的几周内收入和现金余额的变化。其次,我们跟踪在线平台经济参与率和平均每周平台收入如何围绕离散现金流事件演变。总的来说,我们分析了五个具体事件:一个家庭第一次进入在线平台经济,失业,获得工作,退税收据和纳税。我们发现,在一个家庭加入在线平台经济之前的十周内,收入和现金余额下降了10%,这表明当他们的工资收入中断时,家庭就会转向在线平台经济。此外,我们发现有证据表明,就业事件催化了平台参与的变化,特别是在交通部门,特别是对于男性主要账户持有人的家庭。相比之下,与税收相关的现金流——退税或纳税的到来——对平台参与率没有影响。总之,我们的研究结果表明,家庭使用在线平台经济作为现金流管理工具来弥合工作之间的收入差距,但不是在纳税期间。我们的见解为有关这些劳动力市场的适当政策设计和监管的讨论增加了一个重要的维度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bridging the Gap: How Families Use the Online Platform Economy to Manage their Cash Flow
When a family experiences a cash-flow interruption, they can adjust by spending down savings, borrowing, cutting expenditures, or generating supplementary income. With the rise of the Online Platform Economy, this last option has likely become more available. In this report, we leverage the JPMorgan Chase Institute Online Platform Economy data set, which tracks payments from 128 online platforms to 2.3 million families participating on platforms between October 2012 and March 2018, to investigate whether and how families use the Online Platform Economy as a cash-flow management tool to smooth their income. We take two converse perspectives to examine this question. First, we track the evolution of income and cash balances in the weeks leading up to and immediately following a family’s entry into the Online Platform Economy. Second, we track how Online Platform Economy participation rates and average weekly platform revenues evolve around discrete cash flow events. In total, we analyze five specific events: a family’s first entry to the Online Platform Economy, a job loss, a job gain, a tax refund receipt, and a tax payment. We find that in the ten weeks leading up to a family joining the Online Platform Economy, income and cash balances decline by 10 percent, suggesting that families turn to the Online Platform Economy when their payroll incomes are interrupted. Additionally, we find evidence that employment events catalyze changes in platform participation, especially in the transportation sector, and especially for families with male primary account holders. In contrast, tax-related cash flows—the arrival of a tax refund or a tax payment—have no effect on platform participation rates. Altogether, our results indicate that families use the Online Platform Economy as a cash-flow management tool to bridge an income gap between jobs but not during tax time. Our insights add an important dimension to discussions regarding both appropriate policy design for and regulation of these labor markets.
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