文明中心与部落边缘互动的数学模型分析

Andrey Korotayev, L. Grinin, A. Grinin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分析了世界体系宏观动力学的一个主要因素在其大部分历史(自“城市革命”以来)的影响的数学模型——文明与其部落边缘的相互作用(在我们之前的文章中描述过)。所提出的数学模型旨在描述世界体系的文明核心及其部落边缘之间的相互作用对世界城市化动态特定曲线形成的可能影响。它模拟了相变的完成,系统在吸引池中的行为,以及相变到新吸引池的吸引池的开始。目的是确定文明核心和部落边缘之间的相互作用在完成阶段转变期间形成吸引子效应的作用-也就是说,不仅要澄清为什么在其发展过程中完成阶段转变后观察到世界体系发展的主要指标增长率放缓,而且要澄清为什么这些增长率下降,随后暂时稳定在某个平衡水平附近。部落边缘的现代研究成果,包括我们的
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: An Analysis
This article offers an analysis of a mathematical model of the influence of one of the major factors of the World System’s macrodynamics throughout most of its history (since the ‘urban revolution’) – civiliza-tions’ interaction with their tribal peripheries (described in our previous article). The proposed mathematical model is intended to describe the possible influence of interaction between the civilizational core of the World System and its tribal periphery on the formation of the specific curve of world urbanization dynamics. It simulates completion of the phase transition, the behavior of the system in the attraction basin, and the beginning of the phase transition to the attraction basin of the new attractor. The aim is to identify the role of interaction between the civilizational core and tribal periphery in the formation of an attractor effect during the completion of phase transition – that is, to clarify not only why there a slowdown in growth rates of the main indicators of World System development observed following completion of phase transitions during its development, but why these rates fell, with a subsequent temporary stabilization near some equilibrium level. Achievements of modern studies of tribal peripheries, including our
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