中国货币政策对股票价格的影响

Yong-fu Chen
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摘要

本文的主题是中国货币政策对股票价格的影响,本研究的重要性主要体现在资本市场逐渐成为中国未来经济发展的重要特征,股票市场作为资本市场的重要组成部分,其重要性越来越受到货币当局的重视。鉴于此,本文利用2010-2021年的M0、M1和M2数据,以及沪深300指数收盘价和上海银行间同业拆借利率构建VAR模型,研究货币政策对股价的影响。本文数据来源于CSMAR数据库和Flush数据库。研究发现,尽管货币供应量对股票价格有正作用,利率对股票价格有负作用,但股票价格仍主要受其自身波动的控制。本研究在此基础上提出了一些政策思路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of China’s Monetary Policy on Stock Prices
The topic of this paper is the impact of Chinese monetary policy on stock price, and the importance of this study is mainly reflected with capital market gradually becomes a crucial feature of China's future economic development, the stock market, as a vital component of the capital market, is attracting more and more attention from the monetary authorities for its importance. In light of the aforementioned, this paper uses the M0, M1 and M2 data from 2010-2021, THE closing price of CSI 300 and the Shanghai interbank lending rate to build the VAR model to investigate how monetary policy affects stock prices. and the data in this paper are obtained from the CSMAR database and the Flush database. The study finds that although the money supply has a positive effect on stock prices and interest rates have a negative one, stock prices are still mostly controlled by their own fluctuations. This research offers some policy ideas based on this result.
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