亚流域管理方案对埃塞俄比亚南部Humbo地区家庭生计的影响:工具变量法

Mitiku Ayele, Abebe Asele
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在评估流域管理方案对洪波区选定小流域农户生计的影响。为实现研究目标,从计量经济学模型出发,在不同的影响评价方法中采用工具变量法(IV),样本量为330户。计量分析结果显示,家庭年龄、教育程度、收养、消费支出、物质占有、外延接触、作物生产力、上下游和就业与居民生活水平呈显著正相关,显著性水平分别为1%、5%和10%。为了检验工具变量估计的有效性,采用了模型正态性检验、内生性检验、弱工具检验、超识别限制检验、多重共线性检验和异方差检验等诊断检验。在对IV结果进行识别和检验后,进行2SLS估计来评估Impact。因此,采用流域计划对研究区样本家庭的hdi有显著的正向影响(31%)。因此,研究结果表明,实施流域管理方案可以改善农户的生计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Sub Watershed Management Program on Household Livelihoods of Humbo District in Southern Ethiopia: Instrumental Variable Approach
This study is aimed at assessing effect of watershed management program on livelihood of households of selected sub watersheds in Humbo District. To carry out the study objectives, from econometrics models instrumental variable (IV) method was applied from among different impact evaluation methods with the sample size of 330 households. The results of econometric estimation revealed that household age, education, adoption, consumption expenditure, material possession, extension contact, productivity of crops, upstream and downstream and employment were positively and significantly related with HHDI at 1%, 5% and 10% level of significance. To examine the validity of instrumental variables estimation, different diagnosis tests like normality tests of the model, endogeneity test, tests of weak instruments, tests of over identifying restriction, multicollinearity and heteroskedasticity were employed. After identification and testing of IV result, the 2SLS estimation was conducted for evaluating Impact. Accordingly, adoption of watershed program has positive and significant impact (31%) on HHDI of the sample households in the study area. Therefore, the result indicate that with adoption of watershed management program, household on livelihoods can improve.
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