{"title":"基于BP神经网络的道路货物运输系统需求预测模型","authors":"Yun Wu, Shuai Wang, Yingying Zhang, Jiangzhou Zhang","doi":"10.1109/ISCTIS51085.2021.00061","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"To address the prediction problem of road freight transport demand, this paper firstly establishes preliminary forecasting indicators, analyses them using grey relational analysis methods and predicts freight volumes by taking advantage of the non-linear mapping of BP neural networks. The prediction results are eventually compared with the exponential smoothing method and the GM(1,1) method. The study find that the GRA-BPNN-based prediction has ideal prediction results, with higher accuracy and more stable prediction.","PeriodicalId":403102,"journal":{"name":"2021 International Symposium on Computer Technology and Information Science (ISCTIS)","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A BP neural network model for the demand forecasting of road freight transportation system\",\"authors\":\"Yun Wu, Shuai Wang, Yingying Zhang, Jiangzhou Zhang\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ISCTIS51085.2021.00061\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"To address the prediction problem of road freight transport demand, this paper firstly establishes preliminary forecasting indicators, analyses them using grey relational analysis methods and predicts freight volumes by taking advantage of the non-linear mapping of BP neural networks. The prediction results are eventually compared with the exponential smoothing method and the GM(1,1) method. The study find that the GRA-BPNN-based prediction has ideal prediction results, with higher accuracy and more stable prediction.\",\"PeriodicalId\":403102,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2021 International Symposium on Computer Technology and Information Science (ISCTIS)\",\"volume\":\"43 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2021 International Symposium on Computer Technology and Information Science (ISCTIS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISCTIS51085.2021.00061\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2021 International Symposium on Computer Technology and Information Science (ISCTIS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISCTIS51085.2021.00061","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A BP neural network model for the demand forecasting of road freight transportation system
To address the prediction problem of road freight transport demand, this paper firstly establishes preliminary forecasting indicators, analyses them using grey relational analysis methods and predicts freight volumes by taking advantage of the non-linear mapping of BP neural networks. The prediction results are eventually compared with the exponential smoothing method and the GM(1,1) method. The study find that the GRA-BPNN-based prediction has ideal prediction results, with higher accuracy and more stable prediction.