菲律宾2019年冠状病毒病暴发的流行病学特征

M. Alipio, Joseph Dave Mendoza Pregoner
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引用次数: 6

摘要

2019冠状病毒病(Covid-2019)的爆发引起了菲律宾的高度关注。本文描述了截至2020年4月3日菲律宾实验室确诊的2019冠状病毒病患者的流行病学特征,并就如何限制该疾病的传播提出了建议。从启动(2020年1月30日)到最新情况报告(2020年4月3日),提取了卫生部新型冠状病毒追踪器和菲律宾大学2019冠状病毒追踪器的数据。病例总数和死亡人数按菲律宾的性别、年龄和地区分层。描述性统计用于分析确诊病例的人口统计学特征。病死率(以百分比为单位)是通过将总死亡人数除以确诊病例总数来计算的。结果显示,菲律宾17个地区共确诊3018例2019冠状病毒传播病例。这些病例是在73天内通过人与人之间的传播发生的,强调了极高的传染性。144人的死亡人数相当于4.51人的死亡人数,虽然与非典(SARS)和中东呼吸综合征(MERS)相比似乎较低,但与美国、德国、中国大陆以及马来西亚、新加坡、文莱、泰国等东南亚邻国相比却有所上升。在3018例确诊病例中,大多数是男性、老年人,并在马尼拉大都会地区被诊断出来。男性病死率较高,伊洛科斯地区的老年人和菲律宾人病死率最高。随着病例数量的激增,预防措施仍应是一项责任,并需要制定预防方案。应遵守感染控制指南,如但不限于经常洗手至少20秒,遵守咳嗽礼仪,戴口罩和保持社交距离,以控制疾病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in the Philippines
The outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-2019) is a source of great concern in the Philippines. In this paper, we described the epidemiological characteristics of the laboratory-confirmed patients with Covid-2019 in the Philippines as of April 3, 2020 and provided recommendations on how to limit the spread of the disease. Data from the DOH NCOV tracker and University of the Philippines Covid-2019 tracker were extracted, from its initiation (January 30, 2020) until the most recent situation report (April 3, 2020). The total number of cases and deaths were stratified by sex, age, and region of the Philippines. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze the demographic profile of the confirmed cases. Case fatality rate, in percent, was calculated by dividing the total number of deaths to the total number of confirmed cases. Results revealed that a total of 3,018 cases of Covid-2019 spread were confirmed across 17 regions in the Philippines. These cases occurred over the course of 73 days through person-to-person transmission, highlighting an extremely high infectivity rate. The 144 deaths accounted for, equate to 4.51 case fatality rate, seemingly lower compared to its predecessors, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), but higher compared to that of United States of America, Germany, mainland China, and neighboring Southeast Asian countries such as Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei, and Thailand. Of the 3,018 confirmed cases, majority were male, elderly, and diagnosed in Metro Manila region. Case fatality rates were higher in male and highest among elderly and Filipinos in the Ilocos region. With the surge on the number of cases, precautionary measures should remain a responsibility, and protocols for prevention need to be set. Adherence to infection control guidelines such as but not limited to frequently handwashing for at least 20 seconds, observing coughing etiquette, wearing of masks, and social distancing should be maintained in order to contain the disease.
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