缺失失效类型竞争风险的cox模型回归系数自举置信区间的数值研究

I. Hemmi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Cox回归模型常用于评估协变量对竞争风险生存数据失效时间分布的影响。我们考虑一种情况,在这种情况下,可以观察到故障时间,但无法观察到某些个体的故障类型,假设所有故障类型的故障类型缺失的概率相同。Hemmi(1995)提出了Cox模型中回归系数的极大拟偏似然估计量(maximum pseudo-partial likelihood estimator, MPPLE),以改进极大偏似然估计量(maximum partial likelihood estimator, MPLE)。MPPLE具有一致性,但其分布是区间估计所必需的,目前还没有解析得到。本文采用自举方法,如百分位法和BCa法,对基于MPPLE的回归系数构建置信区间,并对其覆盖概率和区间长度进行数值评价。仿真研究表明,自举方法可以构造合适的置信区间,并且基于MPLE的自举置信区间比基于MPLE的正态近似给出的置信区间短。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A NUMERICAL STUDY ON BOOTSTRAP CONFIDENCE INTERVALS OF REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS IN THE COX MODEL FOR COMPETING RISKS WITH MISSING FAILURE TYPES
The Cox regression model is often used to evaluate effects of covariates on failure time distributions for competing risks survival data. We consider a situation where failure times are observed but failure types cannot be observed for some individuals, assuming that the probability of missing the type of a failure is identical for all failure types. Hemmi (1995) has proposed a maximum pseudo-partial likelihood estimator (MPPLE) of regression coefficients in the Cox model in order to improve the maximum partial likelihood estimator (MPLE). The MPPLE has consistency, but its distribution, which is required for interval estimation, has not analytically been obtained so far. This paper applies bootstrap methods such as the percentile and BCa methods to construct confidence intervals for the regression coefficients based on the MPPLE, and evaluates them numerically in terms of coverage probability and interval length. Simulation studies show that the bootstrap methods enable us to construct appropriate confidence intervals, and that the bootstrap confidence intervals based on the MPPLE are shorter than the confidence intervals given by the normal approximation based on the MPLE.
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