墨西哥城快速公交1号线事故时间趋势分析

J. Santos-Reyes, D. Pérez
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本章展示了2015-2020年在墨西哥城发生的BRT L1历史事故数据的结果。主要发现如下:1)分析期间(2015-2020年)共发生了1769起事故;就事故发生频率而言,最关键的年份是2016年(27%)和2019年(21.2%),正如预期的那样,最不关键的年份是2020年(7.1%)。2)一年中最关键的季节是:春季(27.1%)和夏季(26.5%);其次是冬季(23.2%)和秋季(23.1%)。3)结果还表明,周末事故发生率急剧下降(15.8%)。分析的主要结论是,64%的事故发生在高峰时段,造成交通拥堵,对健康和环境产生负面影响。需要进行更多的研究,以纳入2014年至2020年其他六条现有快速公交线路的数据。进一步,需要对数据进行相关的统计显著性检验。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Temporal Accident Trends of Bus Rapid Transit Line 1 in Mexico City
The chapter presents the results of historical accident data on BRT L1 that have occurred in Mexico City from 2015-2020. Some of the key findings were the following: 1) A total of 1,769 accidents have occurred in the period of analysis (2015-2020); the most critical years in terms of the frequency of accident occurrence have been 2016 (27%) and 2019 (21.2%), and as expected, the least critical year was 2020 (7.1%). 2) The most critical seasons of the year have been the following: spring (27.1%) and summer (26.5%); the less critical seasons were winter (23.2%) and autumn (23.1%). 3) The results also highlighted that accident occurrence decreases sharply at the weekends (15.8%). The main conclusion of the analysis is that 64% of accidents occurred during peak hours causing traffic congestion and negative effects on health and to the environment. More research is needed to incorporate data from 2014 to 2020 for the case of the other six existing BRT lines. Further, some relevant statistical significance tests on the data are needed.
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