基于混合GAN的自编码器风速预测方法及注意机制

Srihari Parri, Vishalteja Kosana, Kiran Teeparthi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

风速的准确预测是风电有效利用的关键。为了使预测算法产生准确的结果,高维输入是必要的。然而,由于数据测量设备出现故障,获取风速数据的方法遇到了许多问题。精确的风速预报需要准确的输入和有效的特征提取。为此,本文提出了一种由生成对抗网络(GAN)和基于注意机制的卷积长短期记忆网络自编码器(AM-CLSTMAE)组成的混合风速预测模型。利用GAN对风速值进行基于数据分布的有效缺失数据输入(MDI),利用AM-CLSTMAE提取时空特征,实现对风速的准确预测。使用MDI和WSF的两个测试用例对所提出的模型进行了综合评估。两个测试用例的5分钟风速数据是从位于莱斯特和波特兰的风力发电场收集的。采用不同的比较模型,采用不同的评价指标对所提出的模型进行评价。两个测试用例表明,对于两个测试用例,提出的模型分别在MDI中实现了60%的改进,在WSF中实现了63%的改进,在WSF中实现了42%和40%的改进。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A hybrid GAN based autoencoder approach with attention mechanism for wind speed prediction
Accurate forecasting of wind speed is essential for the effective utilization of wind power. For forecasting algorithms to produce accurate results, high-dimensional input is necessary. The method of obtaining wind speed data, however, runs into a number of issues since data measurement equipment fails. Accurate imputation and effective feature extraction are required for precise wind speed forecasting (WSF). Thus, this paper proposed a hybrid wind speed prediction model consisting of a generative adversarial network (GAN), and an attention mechanism-based convolutional long short-term memory network autoencoder (AM-CLSTMAE). The GAN is used for the effective missing data imputation (MDI) of wind speed values based on the data distribution, and AM-CLSTMAE extracts the spatio-temporal characteristics to accurately predict the wind speed. The proposed model is evaluated using two test cases comprehensively for the MDI, and WSF. The 5-minute wind speed data for the two test cases is collected from the wind farms located in Leicester, and Portland. Different comparison models are used to evaluate the proposed model using various evaluation indices. The two test cases indicated that the proposed model achieved an improvement of 60%, and 63% in the MDI, 42%, and 40% in the WSF for two test cases, respectively.
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