基于ARIMA模型的固定资产投资预测研究

2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering (ICEMME) Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI:10.1109/ICEMME49371.2019.00083

Bokai Zhang

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引用次数: 1

摘要

投资是推动经济增长的三驾马车之一。固定资产投资是投资的重要组成部分，在一个国家的经济社会发展中起着重要的作用。本文运用ARIMA模型对中国济南市1978 - 2017年固定资产投资总额进行了深入分析。结果表明，ARIMA(1,1,1)模型的预测精度更高。研究也为济南市的固定资产投资提供了可靠的理论依据。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Research on Fixed Assets Investment Forecast Based on ARIMA Model

Investment is one of the three troikas that drive economic growth. The fixed asset investment is an important part of investment and plays an important role in the economic and social development of a country. This paper used ARIMA model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the total investment in fixed assets of Jinan City, China from 1978 to 2017. The result shows that the ARIMA (1,1,1) model provides more accurate predictions. The research also provides a reliable theoretical basis for Jinan's fixed asset investment.

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2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering (ICEMME)

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