投票权与股票价格对期权信息的延迟反应

Gang Li, Linti Zhang, Shaojun Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近的研究发现,交易所交易的单股期权的交易量和波动差可以预测标的股票的未来收益。大多数拥有交易所交易期权的公司都有很大的市值,而且交易活跃。令人费解的是,为什么股票价格需要几天甚至几周的时间才能反映期权交易中包含的信息。我们推测,表决权对价可能有助于股票价格对期权信息的延迟反应。更具体地说,我们假设,在需要股东投票来解决有争议的公司事务期间,延迟时间要长得多。我们分析了2003年至2015年间1842次特别股东大会的样本,发现在特别股东大会的几周(即事件窗口),期权量和波动率价差的可预测性要强得多。Fama-MacBeth回归分析表明,波动率价差的可预测性在事件窗口内外都是显著的,而期权量的可预测性仅在事件窗口内显著。我们对股票价格对期权信息的延迟反应提供了新的解释,并记录了投票权的显著资产定价效应,从而对文献做出了贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Voting Rights and the Delayed Stock Price Response to Option Information
Recent studies find that transactions volume and volatility spread of exchange-traded single-stock options predict the underlying stock’s future returns. Most of the firms with exchange-traded options have large market capitalization and are actively traded. It is a puzzle why it takes days and sometimes weeks for stock price to reflect the information contained in option trades. We conjecture that voting rights consideration may contribute to the delayed stock price response to option information. More specifically, we hypothesize that the delay is much longer during the period when shareholder voting is required to resolve contentious corporate matters. We analyze a sample of 1,842 special shareholder meetings between 2003 and 2015 and find that the predictability of option volume and volatility spread is much stronger in the weeks around special shareholder meetings (i.e., the event window). The Fama-MacBeth regression analysis shows that while the predictability of volatility spread is significant both within and outside the event window, the predictability of option volume is significant only within the event window. We contribute to the literature by offering a new explanation of the delayed stock price response to option information and documenting a significant asset pricing effect of voting rights.
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