大众股价的多变量波动分析

H. Herwartz, H. Lütkepohl
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引用次数: 14

摘要

大众普通股和优先股的价格建模和分析使用模型,允许多变量条件异方差。通过适当的脉冲响应或条件矩分布来研究变量条件方差之间的关系。研究发现,该系列波动率存在明显的不对称性,对市场的积极和消极冲击的反应截然不同。此外,还发现了优先股和普通股在反应上的一些差异。没有发现规模效应的显著证据,也就是说,变量对市场中意外冲击的反应方式更多地取决于冲击的迹象,而不是它们的大小。版权所有©2000约翰威利父子有限公司
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multivariate volatility analysis of VW stock prices
VW common and preference stock prices are modelled and analyzed using models which allow for multivariate conditional heteroscedasticity. The relationship between the conditional variances of the variables is investigated by suitable impulse responses or conditional moment profiles. It is found that there is a clear asymmetry in the volatility of the series which react quite differently to positive and negative shocks in the market. Also some differences in the reactions of preference and common stocks are uncovered. No significant evidence is found for size effects, that is, the way the variables respond to unexpected shocks in the market depends more on the sign of the shocks than on their size. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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