《最底层的10亿人:为什么最贫穷的国家会失败以及如何应对》/保罗·科利尔[书评]

J. Clements
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摘要

科利尔是一位经济学家,当然不是传教士。然而,就像道登的文章一样,这本书提供了一些令人印象深刻的、潜在有用的背景知识,可以帮助那些在“最底层10亿人”国家工作的人。他说,这些国家的经济没有增长,也没有立即出现显著经济增长的前景。这不再是10亿富人面对50亿穷人世界的问题。现在,大约有50亿人生活在发展中国家,“通常以惊人的速度”发展。另外10亿人“落后了,而且经常四分五裂”(3)。科利尔分析了最贫穷国家失败的原因。“bb”国家容易落入四个陷阱。最关键的词是陷阱,因为要想脱身非常困难,因为其影响是周期性的,而且更糟糕的是,一个陷阱很容易引发另一个陷阱。陷入这些陷阱的国家给本国、邻国和全球经济造成的损失是巨大的。这四个陷阱是:(1)冲突陷阱(内战、政变);(2)自然资源陷阱;(3)内陆国,邻国不好;(4)小国治理不善。所有“bb”国家都陷入了这样或那样的陷阱:73%的国家经历过内战;29%被自然资源收入政治所主导;30%是内陆国家,资源匮乏,邻居不好;76%的国家经历了治理不善和经济政策不佳的时期(79)。保罗·科利尔:《底层的10亿人:为什么最贫穷的国家正在失败,以及我们能做些什么》纽约;牛津大学出版社,2007年,15.95美元
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can be Done About It / Paul Collier [book review]
Collier is an economist and certainly no missiologist. However, like Dowden’s text, this provides some impressive and potentially useful background understanding for anyone working among people belonging to the countries of the ‘bottom billion.’ These countries are those who are not growing economically and have no immediate prospect of significant economic growth. It is no longer a matter of a billion rich people facing a poor world of 5 billion. Now, around 5 billion live in countries that are developing, “often at amazing speed.” The other billion is “falling behind and often falling apart” (3). Collier’s analyzes why the poorest countries are failing. There are four traps into which countries in the ‘bb’ are prone to be caught. The operative word is trap since the great difficulty is getting out, since the effect is cyclical and, to make matters worse, one trap can easily lead to another. The cost to the country, its neighbors, and the global economy of countries caught in these traps is enormous. The four traps are: (1) the conflict trap (civil war, coups); (2) the natural resource trap; (3) landlocked with bad neighbors; and (4) bad governance in a small country. All of the ‘bb’ countries have been in one or another trap: 73% have endured civil war; 29% are dominated by politics of natural resource revenues; 30% are landlocked, resource-scarce, and have bad neighbors; 76% have been through a period of bad governance and poor economic policies (79). Paul Collier The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can be Done About It New York; Oxford University Press, 2007 $15.95
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