波兰养老金和失业福利改革分析框架

W. Perraudin
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引用次数: 15

摘要

波兰的养老金改革是当务之急。福利支出对公共财政造成相当大的压力,阻碍了稳定的努力。人口发展将加剧这一压力,尽管可能比一些估计数所显示的要小。长期来看,支持改革的主要理由是,现行制度导致了严重的微观经济扭曲。为了分析可能的改革,本文采用了一个面对当前波兰养老金制度详细规则的效用最大化家庭的模拟模型。所审议的改革旨在减少与现行安排有关的无谓损失,并减轻现行制度所造成的不平等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Framework for the Analysis of Pension and Unemployment Benefit Reform in Poland
Pension reform in Poland is an urgent priority. Benefit expenditures have placed considerable pressure on public finances, hampering stabilization efforts. Demographic developments will exacerbate this pressure although probably less than some estimates have suggested. The main long-term argument for reform is that the current system induces severe microeconomic distortions. To analyze possible reforms, this paper employs a simulation model of a utility-maximizing household facing the detailed rules of the current Polish pension system. The reforms considered are designed to reduce the dead-weight losses associated with current arrangements and to alleviate the inequality engendered by the present system.
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