巴菲特的价值投资策略真的有效吗,尤其是在2020年疫情期间?证据来自美国股市

Rongzhen Wu, Y. Begum
{"title":"巴菲特的价值投资策略真的有效吗,尤其是在2020年疫情期间?证据来自美国股市","authors":"Rongzhen Wu, Y. Begum","doi":"10.18282/ff.v10i4.2349","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Warren Buffett’s value investing strategy is famous around the world which is regarded as the key reason for his success. But due to the huge losses incurred by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway during the 2020 epidemic, some people start to doubt the validity of the value investing strategy. Therefore, the research questions in this paper focus on the quantification, validity, and robustness of Buffett’s value investing strategy in the American stock market. Consequently, three results are drawn from this research: following the idea of Buffett’s value investing strategy, the B-score constructed by 6 sub-indexes can be used to quantify the stock’s value; the B-score had a decent ability to predict stock’s future returns from 2015 to 2019, which infers the validity of value investing strategy when the economy is booming; the B-score lost the ability to predict stock’s future returns in 2020, but this result is not adequate to deny the robustness of Buffett’s value investing strategy when facing the extreme situations like the 2020 epidemic for many reasons, which are discussed at the end of this paper.","PeriodicalId":242006,"journal":{"name":"Financial Forum","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Does Buffett’s Value Investing Strategy Really Work Well, Especially During the 2020 Epidemic? Evidence from the American Stock Market\",\"authors\":\"Rongzhen Wu, Y. Begum\",\"doi\":\"10.18282/ff.v10i4.2349\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Warren Buffett’s value investing strategy is famous around the world which is regarded as the key reason for his success. But due to the huge losses incurred by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway during the 2020 epidemic, some people start to doubt the validity of the value investing strategy. Therefore, the research questions in this paper focus on the quantification, validity, and robustness of Buffett’s value investing strategy in the American stock market. Consequently, three results are drawn from this research: following the idea of Buffett’s value investing strategy, the B-score constructed by 6 sub-indexes can be used to quantify the stock’s value; the B-score had a decent ability to predict stock’s future returns from 2015 to 2019, which infers the validity of value investing strategy when the economy is booming; the B-score lost the ability to predict stock’s future returns in 2020, but this result is not adequate to deny the robustness of Buffett’s value investing strategy when facing the extreme situations like the 2020 epidemic for many reasons, which are discussed at the end of this paper.\",\"PeriodicalId\":242006,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Financial Forum\",\"volume\":\"26 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-12-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Financial Forum\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18282/ff.v10i4.2349\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Financial Forum","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18282/ff.v10i4.2349","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

巴菲特的价值投资策略闻名世界,这被认为是他成功的关键原因。但由于巴菲特和伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2020年疫情期间遭受的巨大损失,一些人开始怀疑价值投资策略的有效性。因此,本文的研究问题集中在巴菲特价值投资策略在美国股市的量化、有效性和稳健性上。因此,本研究得出三个结论:遵循巴菲特价值投资策略的思想,由6个子指标构建的b分可以量化股票的价值;B-score对2015 - 2019年股票未来回报的预测能力较好,这可以推断出经济繁荣时期价值投资策略的有效性;B-score失去了对2020年股票未来收益的预测能力,但这一结果并不足以否定巴菲特价值投资策略在面对2020年疫情等极端情况时的稳健性,原因有很多,本文最后将对此进行讨论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Buffett’s Value Investing Strategy Really Work Well, Especially During the 2020 Epidemic? Evidence from the American Stock Market
Warren Buffett’s value investing strategy is famous around the world which is regarded as the key reason for his success. But due to the huge losses incurred by Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway during the 2020 epidemic, some people start to doubt the validity of the value investing strategy. Therefore, the research questions in this paper focus on the quantification, validity, and robustness of Buffett’s value investing strategy in the American stock market. Consequently, three results are drawn from this research: following the idea of Buffett’s value investing strategy, the B-score constructed by 6 sub-indexes can be used to quantify the stock’s value; the B-score had a decent ability to predict stock’s future returns from 2015 to 2019, which infers the validity of value investing strategy when the economy is booming; the B-score lost the ability to predict stock’s future returns in 2020, but this result is not adequate to deny the robustness of Buffett’s value investing strategy when facing the extreme situations like the 2020 epidemic for many reasons, which are discussed at the end of this paper.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信