具有直觉模糊后回归的Black-Litterman模型

Krzysztof Echaust, Krzysztof Piasecki
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引用次数: 3

摘要

主要目的是提出布莱克-利特曼模型的某种变体。本文考虑了用反向优化方法推导出的CAPM市场投资组合的超额收益来确定先验收益的典型情况。然后将先验收益的风险量化为不确定性。另一方面,激烈的讨论表明,专家们的观点处于骑士般的不确定性之下。为此,我们提出了Black - Litterman模型的这种变体,其中专家的观点被描述为直觉模糊数。证明了后验收益的存在性。我们证明了后验收益是一个直觉模糊概率集。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Black-Litterman model with intuitionistic fuzzy posterior return
The main objective is to present a some variant of the Black - Litterman model. We consider the canonical case when priori return is determined by means such excess return from the CAPM market portfolio which is derived using reverse optimization method. Then the a priori return is at risk quantified uncertainty. On the side, intensive discussion shows that the experts' views are under knightian uncertainty. For this reason, we propose such variant of the Black - Litterman model in which the experts' views are described as intuitionistic fuzzy number. The existence of posterior return is proved for this case.We show that then posterior return is an intuitionistic fuzzy probabilistic set.
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