北京潜在拼车案例研究

Fei Song, Rong Li, Huachun Zhou, Hongke Zhang, I. You
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文基于真实出租车的GPS轨迹,对出租车拼车进行了基础分析。由于资源利用率的提高是拼车计划的一个重要好处,我们讨论了可以减少多少积分和里程。为了分析出租车数量增加时的情况,采用了灰色预测算法并进行了验证。直接使用这种方法的性能不太令人满意。因此,我们提出了一种提高精度的方案。最终结果表明:当系统运行4万辆出租车时,上车点可能超过19.8万辆,如果全面部署拼车方案,可淘汰37%的出租车。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Case Study for Potential Carpooling in Beijing
This paper focuses on providing some fundamental analysis for taxi carpooling based on real taxis' GPS traces. Since the increase of resource utilization is one essential benefit for carpooling scheme, we discussed how many get on points and mileages can be reduced. In order to analyze the situation when more taxis are employed, grey prediction algorithm is adopted and validated. The performance of using such method directly is not quite satisfied. Therefore we proposed a scheme to enhance the accuracy. The final results show: when 40k taxis are running in the system, the get on point may above 198k and 37% of them can be removed if carpooling scheme is fully deployed.
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