基于Pearson相关系数的欧洲股市对COVID-19的提前反应时间分析

M. Wang, Qing Cheng, Jincai Huang, Guangquan Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情席卷全球,对社会经济造成了非常严重的影响。作为经济晴雨表的股市也受到了冲击。本文选取英国、德国和法国的股指作为研究对象,探讨新冠肺炎疫情对股指的影响。结果表明,疫情前几天欧洲股市会出现波动,股市的波动是疫情爆发的预警。各国股市新冠肺炎预警的具体时间不尽相同。在英国,预警天数为14天,每日新增确诊病例数与英国股市指数密切相关。法国的预警天数为7天,每日新增确诊人数与股市指数的相关性较弱。德国的预警天数为5天,每日新增确诊病例数与德国股市指数密切相关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the European stock market's advance response time to COVID-19 based on Pearson correlation Coefficient
The epidemic of COVID-19 has swept the world, which has had a very serious impact on the social economy. The stock market, as a barometer of the economy, has also been hit. This paper selects the stock indexes of Britain, Germany and France as the research object to explore the influence of COVID-19 on the stock index. The results show that the European stock market will fluctuate several days before the epidemic, and the volatility of the stock market is an early warning for the outbreak of COVID-19. The specific days of early warning for COVID-19 in stock markets of various countries are not quite the same. In Britain, the number of early warning days is 14 days, and the number of daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 is strongly related to the country's stock market index. France's early warning days are 7 days, and the number of daily newly diagnosed COVID-19 is weakly related to the country's stock market index. Germany's early warning days are 5 days, and the daily new number of COVID-19 's confirmed cases is strongly related to the country's stock market index.
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