石油价格与汇率:以欧佩克为例

A. Aflatooni
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引用次数: 72

摘要

本文研究了石油输出国组织成员国的油价与汇率的关系。本文通过对欧佩克7个成员国2000:01 - 2007:12的月度调查,考察了实际油价与实际汇率之间的长期关系。我们首先检验汇率是否与实际油价协整。合并序列的平稳性和协整检验明显地显示了单位根和协整的合并检验的高功效。结果表明,实际石油价格可能是实际汇率变动的主要来源。最后,结果表明,实际油价与实际汇率之间存在长期联系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Oil Prices and Exchange Rates: The Case of Opec
This paper has studied the relationship between oil price and exchange rate in OPEC members. In this paper, we investigate the long-run relationship between real oil prices and real exchange rates by using monthly panel of seven countries of OPEC members from 2000:01 to 2007:12. We first test whether or not exchange rates are cointegrated with real oil prices. Stationary and cointegration tests for pooled series obviously have shown the high power of pooled tests for unit root and cointegration. It is shown that real oil prices may have been the dominant source of real exchange rate movements. Finally, the results shown that, there is a long-run linkage between real oil prices and real exchange rates.
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