基于前馈反向传播算法的商业智能汽车销售价格预测

N. Idris, Aspian Achban, Siti Andini Utiarahman, Jorry Karim, F. Pontoiyo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

汽车制造企业每年都会推出具有创新规格的汽车,因此汽车行业的竞争日益激烈。由汽车的技术和性能支持的规格是决定汽车价格的工具。然而,今天的汽车工业经常发布最新规格的新产品或汽车类型,影响汽车的价格变化。这让汽车制造公司在确定汽车价格时感到困惑。针对这一问题,需要一种预测汽车价格的决策策略方法。可以实现的方法之一是商业智能,其主要方面是描述性、预测性和说明性。利用这个概念,我们实现了商业智能,并使用前馈反向传播算法根据汽车的规格预测汽车的销售价格,并根据从未销售过的最新规格预测汽车的价格。通过使用包含宝马规格的数据集确定的研究结果显示,实际价格和预测价格接近,平均误差为11.46%。此外,研究结果还表明,一辆新规格的新车的预测价格为55,754美元。本研究旨在分析最新规格汽车的价格估计,这是我们所做的商业智能方法实现的重点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting the Selling Price of Cars Using Business Intelligence with the Feed-forward Backpropagation Algorithms
The automotive industry is increasingly competitive every year by releasing cars featured with innovative specifications offered by automotive manufacturing companies. The specifications, supported by the technology and performance a car has, are a tool to determine a car's price. However, today the automotive industry frequently releases a new product or type of car with the latest specifications, affecting a car's price to change. It perplexes car manufacturing companies when they are determining a car's price. Responding to this issue, an approach to a decision-making strategy to predict a car's price is needed. One of the approaches that can be implemented is business intelligence with its primary aspects i.e. descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive. Using the concept, we implement Business Intelligence and use the feed-forward backpropagation algorithm to predicts the selling price of a car based on its specification and predict a car price based on the latest specification which has never been on sale. The research findings, identified by using a dataset containing the specifications of BMW, reveal that the actual price and predicted price are close at a mean error of 11.46%. Besides, the research findings also state that the predicted price of a new car with new specifications is $55,754. This research aims to analyze the estimation of the price of a car with the latest specification, which is the focus of the implementation of the business intelligence method we do.
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