解释v.预测:哪个更有分量?

PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association Pub Date : 1994-01-01 DOI:10.1086/psaprocbienmeetp.1994.2.192926

P. Achinstein

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引用次数: 25

摘要

对新事实的预测是否比对旧事实的解释提供了更有力的证据?有时是，有时不是。这与证据是否被预测或解释无关，而只与用来产生证据的选择程序有关。这可以通过一系列假设的药物案例和海因里希·赫兹1883年的阴极射线实验来证明。

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Explanation v. Prediction: Which Carries More Weight?

Do predictions of novel facts provide stronger evidence for a theory than explanations of old ones? Sometimes yes, sometimes no. Which obtains has nothing to do with whether the evidence is predicted or explained, but only with the selection procedure used to generate the evidence. This is demonstrated by reference to a series of hypothetical drug cases and to Heinrich Hertz's 1883 cathode ray experiments.

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PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association

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