左转弯:调查年轻人对资本主义和社会主义的态度

K. Niemietz
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引用次数: 2

摘要

长期以来,千禧一代一直被描绘成不参与政治、冷漠的一代。然而,近年来,这种描述发生了巨大变化。“黑人的命也重要”、“反抗灭绝”、“格蕾塔·桑伯格运动”和“动量”等群众运动的兴起,以及“校园文化战争”,使人们的观念发生了翻天覆地的变化。如今,千禧一代更常被描述为高度政治化的一代,他们信奉“觉醒”、进步和反资本主义的思想。这种情况越来越多地延伸到下一代的第一批人,即“Z世代”。调查显示,“觉醒的社会主义千禧一代”的陈词滥调有很多道理。年轻人确实一贯表达对资本主义的敌意,以及对某种社会主义替代方案的积极看法。例如,大约40%的千禧一代声称对社会主义持赞成态度,类似比例的人同意“如果执行得更好,共产主义可能会成功”的说法。对于市场经济的支持者来说,这应该是一个值得关注的问题,但到目前为止,他们大多选择忽视这一现象,或者用诸如“年轻人总是经历青少年社会主义阶段”或“他们会长大的”之类的短语来打发它。但这并没有得到数据的证实。青少年和40岁出头的人在经济态度上没有明显的差异。随着年龄的增长,人们不再会对社会主义观念“生疏”。为了填补文献中的一些空白,国际能源署委托对千禧一代和“Z世代”(即Z世代)的经济态度进行了广泛的调查,广泛证实并加深了我们从以前的调查中得到的印象。例如,67%的年轻人表示他们希望生活在社会主义经济体制中。年轻人主要把“社会主义”与积极的词汇联系在一起,比如“工人”、“公共”、“平等”和“公平”。很少有人把它和“失败”联系在一起,几乎没有人把它和委内瑞拉联系在一起,委内瑞拉曾经是“21世纪社会主义”的样板。与此同时,资本主义主要与“剥削”、“不公平”、“富人”和“公司”等术语联系在一起。75%的年轻人认为,气候变化是一个具体的资本主义问题(而不是任何经济体系都会出现的工业生产的副作用)。71%的人同意资本主义助长种族主义的说法。73%的人认为社会主义助长了自私、贪婪和物质主义,而社会主义制度会促进团结、同情和合作。78%的年轻人将英国的住房危机归咎于资本主义(而不是邻避主义和供应方面的限制)。因此,78%的受访者还认为,解决这个问题需要政府通过租金管制和公共住房等措施进行大规模干预。72%的年轻人支持将能源、水和铁路等行业(再)国有化。72%的人还认为,私营部门的参与将使NHS面临风险。75%的年轻人同意“社会主义是一个好主意,但它在过去失败了,因为它做得不好(例如在委内瑞拉)”的说法。“真正的社会主义从未被尝试过”的陈词滥调不仅是陈词滥调,也是千禧一代和千禧一代的主流观点。这一切并不意味着英国到处都是年轻的马克思列宁主义者。社会主义思想广泛传播,但传播也很薄弱。当看到一个反资本主义的声明时,绝大多数年轻人都同意(在我们的调查中,每一个反资本主义的声明都是如此,无一例外)。然而,当面对一个完全相反的亲资本主义的陈述时,我们常常也会发现对该陈述的净赞同。这表明,当年轻人接受社会主义观点时,这往往不是一个根深蒂固的信念。这可能只是他们最熟悉的论点。我们的结果并不意味着资本主义的支持者应该认输,承认在思想之战中失败,仅仅接受未来属于社会主义。但它确实表明,他们应该比现在更认真地对待“千禧社会主义”。他们应该将其视为挑战并参与其中,而不是忽视它或否认它的存在。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Left Turn Ahead: Surveying Attitudes of Young People Towards Capitalism and Socialism
Millennials have long been portrayed as a politically disengaged and apathetic generation. In recent years, however, that portrayal has changed drastically. The rise of mass movements such as Black Lives Matter, Extinction Rebellion, the ‘Greta Thunberg movement’ and Momentum, together with the ‘campus culture wars’, have turned perceptions upside down. Today, Millennials are much more commonly described as a hyper-politicised generation, which embraces ‘woke’, progressive and anti-capitalist ideas. This is increasingly extended to the first cohorts of the subsequent generation, ‘Generation Z’. Surveys show that there is a lot of truth in the cliché of the ‘woke socialist Millennial’. Younger people really do quite consistently express hostility to capitalism, and positive views of socialist alternatives of some sort. For example, around 40 per cent of Millennials claim to have a favourable opinion of socialism and a similar proportion agree with the statement that ‘communism could have worked if it had been better executed’. For supporters of the market economy, this should be a cause for concern, but so far they have mostly chosen to ignore this phenomenon, or dismiss it with phrases such as ‘Young people have always gone through a juvenile socialist phase’ or ‘They will grow out of it’. But this is simply not borne out by the data. There are no detectable differences between the economic attitudes of people in their late teens and people in their early 40s. It is no longer true that people ‘grow out’ of socialist ideas as they get older. To fill in some of the remaining gaps in the literature, the IEA has commissioned an extensive survey into the economic attitudes of Millennials and ‘Zoomers’ (i.e. Generation Z), which broadly confirms and deepens the impression we get from previous surveys. For example, 67 per cent of younger people say they would like to live in a socialist economic system. Young people associate ‘socialism’ predominantly with positive terms, such as ‘workers’, ‘public’, ‘equal’ and ‘fair’. Very few associate it with ‘failure’ and virtually nobody associates it with Venezuela, the erstwhile showcase of ‘21st Century Socialism’. Capitalism, meanwhile, is predominantly associated with terms such as ‘exploitative’, ‘unfair’, ‘the rich’ and ‘corporations’. 75 per cent of young people agree with the assertion that climate change is a specifically capitalist problem (as opposed to a side-effect of industrial production that would occur in any economic system). 71 per cent agree with the assertion that capitalism fuels racism. 73 per cent agree that it fuels selfishness, greed, and materialism, while a socialist system would promote solidarity, compassion and cooperation. 78 per cent of young people blame capitalism (not NIMBYism and supply-side restrictions) for Britain’s housing crisis. Consequently, 78 per cent also believe that solving it requires large-scale government intervention, through measures such as rent controls and public housing. 72 per cent of young people support the (re-)nationalisation of various industries such as energy, water and the railways. 72 per cent also believe that private sector involvement would put the NHS at risk. 75 per cent of young people agree with the statement that ‘socialism is a good idea, but it has failed in the past because it has been badly done (for example in Venezuela)’. The cliché that ‘real socialism has never been tried’ is not just a cliché: it is also the mainstream opinion among Millennials and Zoomers. None of this means that Britain is full of young Marxist-Leninists. Socialist ideas are widespread, but they are also thinly spread. When presented with an anti-capitalist statement, the vast majority of young people agree with it (in our survey, this was true of every single anticapitalist statement, without exception). However, when presented with a diametrically opposed pro-capitalist statement, we often find net approval for that statement too. This suggests that when young people embrace a socialist argument, this is often not a deeply-held conviction. It may simply be the argument they are most familiar with. None of our results mean that supporters of capitalism should throw in the towel, concede defeat in the battle of ideas and just accept that the future belongs to socialism. But it does suggest that they should take ‘Millennial Socialism’ far more seriously than they currently do. They should treat it as a challenge and engage with it, rather than dismiss it or deny it exists.
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